Math Problem Statement

An urn contains 12 balls, of which 4 are white. Players AA, BB, and CC successively draw from the urn - AA first, then BB, then CC, then AA again, and so on. The winner is the first one to draw a white ball. If the balls that are withdrawn are not replaced, what is the probability, computed up to three places after decimal, that player AA wins?

Solution

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Combinatorics

Formulas

P(no white balls in k draws) = (non-white balls remaining / total balls remaining)
P(A wins on turn n) = (P(no white balls in previous draws) * P(A draws white ball on turn n))

Theorems

Basic probability rules
Multiplication rule of probability

Suitable Grade Level

College/Advanced High School