Math Problem Statement
In the next room, Jomo handles customer claims with surnames from F to J. The volume of calls arriving in Jomo’s queue follows a Poisson distribution with an average of 1.2 calls in 5 minutes. If Jomo’s queue receives more than 2 calls in 5 minutes, Jomo won’t be able to keep up, and customers will abandon their calls. Determine the probability that Joma’s queue will have abandoned calls during a randomly chosen interval of five minutes.
Solution
To solve this problem, we need to find the probability that Jomo’s queue will receive more than 2 calls in a 5-minute interval, given that the number of calls follows a Poisson distribution with an average rate of 1.2 calls per 5 minutes.
Poisson Distribution:
The Poisson probability mass function (PMF) for calls in a given time period is given by the formula:
where:
- is the average number of calls (1.2 in this case),
- is the number of calls,
- is Euler's number (approximately 2.71828).
In this case, we want to calculate the probability that the number of calls, , is greater than 2:
First, calculate , which is the sum of the probabilities for 0, 1, and 2 calls:
Let's compute each probability individually.
- :
- :
- :
After calculating these, we can find , and finally, the probability that there are more than 2 calls is:
Now, let's calculate these values.The probability that Jomo's queue will receive more than 2 calls in a 5-minute interval, leading to abandoned calls, is approximately 0.1205, or about 12.05%.
Would you like further clarification or additional details on this topic?
Here are 5 related questions to consider:
- How does the Poisson distribution model work for different time intervals?
- What are other real-life scenarios where the Poisson distribution can be applied?
- How would the probability change if the average call rate increased?
- How can Jomo improve queue management to avoid abandoned calls?
- What happens if customers don't abandon their calls but instead wait longer?
Tip: When dealing with Poisson distribution, always ensure that the event rate () matches the time interval you're analyzing.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability Theory
Poisson Distribution
Formulas
Poisson probability mass function: P(X = k) = (e^(-λ) * λ^k) / k!
P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X ≤ 2)
Theorems
Poisson Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
College Level
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