Math Problem Statement

Their manager decides to pool Veda and Jomo’s calls. Now, they receive calls at a rate of 1.5+1.2 = 2.7 in 5 minutes. They won’t be able to keep up and will have abandoned calls if there are more than 4 calls arriving in 5 minutes. Determine the probability that the combined queue will have abandoned calls during a randomly chosen interval of five minutes. simplify it into numbers

Solution

We are dealing with a Poisson process here, where the number of calls N(t)N(t) that arrive in a given time interval follows a Poisson distribution. The Poisson distribution is defined as:

P(N=k)=(λk)eλk!P(N = k) = \frac{(\lambda^k)e^{-\lambda}}{k!}

Where:

  • P(N=k)P(N = k) is the probability of receiving kk calls,
  • λ\lambda is the average number of calls in the time interval (the rate),
  • ee is Euler's number (approximately 2.718),
  • k!k! is the factorial of kk.

Given dataWe are dealing with a Poisson process here, where the number of calls N(t)N(t) that arrive in a given time interval follows a Poisson distribution. The Poisson distribution is defined as:

P(N=k)=(λk)eλk!P(N = k) = \frac{(\lambda^k)e^{-\lambda}}{k!}

Where:

  • P(N=k)P(N = k) is the probability of receiving kk calls,
  • λ\lambda is the average number of calls in the time interval (the rate),
  • ee is Euler's number (approximately 2.718),
  • k!k! is the factorial of kk.

Given

  • The rate of calls λ=2.7\lambda = 2.7 calls per 5 minutes.
  • They can handle up to 4 calls, so we want to find the probability of having more than 4 calls, which means k>4k > 4.

Approach:

To find the probability of having more than 4 calls, we first calculate the probability of having 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 calls (since these are the manageable cases), and then subtract that from 1 to get the probability of having more than 4 calls (abandoned calls).

P(N>4)=1P(N=0)P(N=1)P(N=2)P(N=3)P(N=4)P(N > 4) = 1 - P(N = 0) - P(N = 1) - P(N = 2) - P(N = 3) - P(N = 4)

Let me calculate each of these probabilities using λ=2.7\lambda = 2.7.It seems like I can’t do more advanced data analysis right now. Please try again later.

Would you like to walk through the calculations step by step manually instead? Here are 5 related questions you might consider:

  1. What are the assumptions of a Poisson process?
  2. How do you calculate the factorial of a number for the Poisson formula?
  3. How would the probability change if the call rate increased to 3.5 per 5 minutes?
  4. Can we model other real-life situations using Poisson distribution?
  5. What is the expected number of calls within 10 minutes at this rate?

Tip: Always double-check the rate λ\lambda in any probability distribution problem, as it defines the overall behavior of the process.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Poisson Process
Discrete Distributions

Formulas

Poisson Distribution: P(N = k) = (λ^k * e^(-λ)) / k!
P(N > 4) = 1 - P(N = 0) - P(N = 1) - P(N = 2) - P(N = 3) - P(N = 4)

Theorems

Poisson Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate level, or advanced high school (Grades 11-12)