Math Problem Statement

A project has cash flows of $21,000, $10,000, and $8,000 in 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. If the prevailing interest rate is 18%, would you buy the project if it costs $30,000? Why yes or no?

Solution

To determine whether to buy the project, we need to calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) of the project. The NPV is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the initial investment. If the NPV is positive, the project should be considered, and if it is negative, the project should be avoided.

Formula for Present Value (PV):

PV=C(1+r)tPV = \frac{C}{(1 + r)^t}

Where:

  • CC is the cash flow at time tt,
  • rr is the interest rate (18% or 0.18),
  • tt is the year.

Step 1: Calculate the Present Value of Each Cash Flow

  1. Year 1: Cash flow = $21,000 PV1=21,000(1+0.18)1=21,0001.1817,796.61PV_1 = \frac{21,000}{(1 + 0.18)^1} = \frac{21,000}{1.18} \approx 17,796.61

  2. Year 2: Cash flow = $10,000 PV2=10,000(1+0.18)2=10,0001.39247,186.19PV_2 = \frac{10,000}{(1 + 0.18)^2} = \frac{10,000}{1.3924} \approx 7,186.19

  3. Year 3: Cash flow = $8,000 PV3=8,000(1+0.18)3=8,0001.64364,869.88PV_3 = \frac{8,000}{(1 + 0.18)^3} = \frac{8,000}{1.6436} \approx 4,869.88

Step 2: Calculate the Total Present Value of Cash Flows

PVtotal=PV1+PV2+PV3=17,796.61+7,186.19+4,869.8829,852.68PV_{\text{total}} = PV_1 + PV_2 + PV_3 = 17,796.61 + 7,186.19 + 4,869.88 \approx 29,852.68

Step 3: Calculate the NPV

Now, subtract the initial investment of $30,000 from the total present value of the cash flows: NPV=PVtotalInitial Investment=29,852.6830,000147.32NPV = PV_{\text{total}} - \text{Initial Investment} = 29,852.68 - 30,000 \approx -147.32

Conclusion:

The NPV is negative (-$147.32), which means the project would result in a loss at the given interest rate of 18%. Therefore, you should not buy the project, because it does not generate enough value to cover the initial investment.

Would you like further details or clarification?

Here are a few related questions to explore:

  1. How do changes in the interest rate affect the NPV of a project?
  2. What is the difference between NPV and Internal Rate of Return (IRR)?
  3. How would the NPV change if the initial investment was lower than $30,000?
  4. What other investment evaluation methods can be used in addition to NPV?
  5. Can the NPV be negative even if cash inflows are positive in all years?

Tip: When analyzing projects, always compare the NPV against the required rate of return. If the NPV is positive, it typically means the project is worth investing in.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Finance
Net Present Value (NPV)
Present Value (PV)
Interest Rate
Time Value of Money

Formulas

NPV = PV_total - Initial Investment
PV = C / (1 + r)^t

Theorems

Time Value of Money
Net Present Value (NPV) rule

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12