Math Problem Statement

The table below gives the list price and the number of bids received for five randomly selected items sold through online auctions. Using this data, consider the equation of the regression line, yˆ=b0+b1x , for predicting the number of bids an item will receive based on the list price. Keep in mind, the correlation coefficient may or may not be statistically significant for the data given. Remember, in practice, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line to make a prediction if the correlation coefficient is not statistically significant.

Price in Dollars 23 34 44 46 50 Number of Bids 1 2 4 9 10 Table

Step 4 of 6 : Find the estimated value of y when x=46 . Round your answer to three decimal places.

Solution

To find the estimated value of yy when x=46x = 46, we need to follow these steps:

Step 1: Compute the Regression Coefficients b0b_0 and b1b_1

The equation of the regression line is:

y^=b0+b1x\hat{y} = b_0 + b_1 x

Where:

  • b0b_0 is the y-intercept
  • b1b_1 is the slope

Step 2: Calculate the Necessary Values

We need the following formulas to compute b0b_0 and b1b_1:

b1=nxyxynx2(x)2b_1 = \frac{n \sum x y - \sum x \sum y}{n \sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2}

b0=yb1xnb_0 = \frac{\sum y - b_1 \sum x}{n}

Where:

  • xx = price in dollars
  • yy = number of bids
  • nn = number of data points

Data:

x=[23,34,44,46,50]x = [23, 34, 44, 46, 50] y=[1,2,4,9,10]y = [1, 2, 4, 9, 10]

Step 3: Compute the Sums

Let's calculate the following sums:

  • x=23+34+44+46+50=197\sum x = 23 + 34 + 44 + 46 + 50 = 197
  • y=1+2+4+9+10=26\sum y = 1 + 2 + 4 + 9 + 10 = 26
  • x2=232+342+442+462+502=529+1156+1936+2116+2500=8237\sum x^2 = 23^2 + 34^2 + 44^2 + 46^2 + 50^2 = 529 + 1156 + 1936 + 2116 + 2500 = 8237
  • xy=(23×1)+(34×2)+(44×4)+(46×9)+(50×10)=23+68+176+414+500=1181\sum xy = (23 \times 1) + (34 \times 2) + (44 \times 4) + (46 \times 9) + (50 \times 10) = 23 + 68 + 176 + 414 + 500 = 1181

Step 4: Calculate b1b_1

Now, substitute these values into the formula for b1b_1:

b1=5(1181)(197)(26)5(8237)(197)2b_1 = \frac{5(1181) - (197)(26)}{5(8237) - (197)^2}

b1=590551224118538809b_1 = \frac{5905 - 5122}{41185 - 38809}

b1=78323860.328b_1 = \frac{783}{2386} \approx 0.328

Step 5: Calculate b0b_0

Now, substitute the values into the formula for b0b_0:

b0=26(0.328)(197)5b_0 = \frac{26 - (0.328)(197)}{5}

b0=2664.5765b_0 = \frac{26 - 64.576}{5}

b0=38.57657.715b_0 = \frac{-38.576}{5} \approx -7.715

Step 6: Estimate y^\hat{y} when x=46x = 46

Now that we have b07.715b_0 \approx -7.715 and b10.328b_1 \approx 0.328, we can estimate y^\hat{y} for x=46x = 46:

y^=7.715+0.328(46)\hat{y} = -7.715 + 0.328(46)

y^=7.715+15.088\hat{y} = -7.715 + 15.088

y^7.373\hat{y} \approx 7.373

Final Answer:

The estimated value of yy when x=46x = 46 is approximately 7.373 (rounded to three decimal places).

Would you like more details on how I calculated these steps, or have any questions? Here are some related questions you might find useful:

  1. How do you interpret the slope and y-intercept in a regression line?
  2. What assumptions are made when using a regression model like this?
  3. How do you calculate the correlation coefficient, and why is it important?
  4. What does it mean if the regression model has a low R-squared value?
  5. How can we check if the regression coefficients are statistically significant?

Tip: Always check the residuals (the differences between the observed and predicted values) to assess the fit of the regression model.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Prediction Models

Formulas

ŷ = b0 + b1x
b1 = (nΣxy - ΣxΣy) / (nΣx² - (Σx)²)
b0 = (Σy - b1Σx) / n

Theorems

Least Squares Method
Simple Linear Regression

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12