Math Problem Statement

The table below gives the list price and the number of bids received for five randomly selected items sold through online auctions. Using this data, consider the equation of the regression line, yˆ=b0+b1x , for predicting the number of bids an item will receive based on the list price. Keep in mind, the correlation coefficient may or may not be statistically significant for the data given. Remember, in practice, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line to make a prediction if the correlation coefficient is not statistically significant.

Price in Dollars 20 39 43 44 47 Number of Bids 3 5 8 9 10 Table

Step 5 of 6 : Find the estimated value of y when x=43 . Round your answer to three decimal places.

Solution

To find the estimated value of yy when x=43x = 43 using the regression equation y^=b0+b1x\hat{y} = b_0 + b_1x, we need to calculate the regression coefficients b0b_0 (intercept) and b1b_1 (slope).

Let's start by calculating the slope b1b_1 and the intercept b0b_0.

Step 1: Calculate the necessary statistics

We are given the following data:

Price (xx)Number of Bids (yy)
203
395
438
449
4710

Calculating the means:

The formula for the mean of xx is: xˉ=1ni=1nxi\bar{x} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i The formula for the mean of yy is: yˉ=1ni=1nyi\bar{y} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} y_i

xˉ=20+39+43+44+475=1935=38.6\bar{x} = \frac{20 + 39 + 43 + 44 + 47}{5} = \frac{193}{5} = 38.6 yˉ=3+5+8+9+105=355=7\bar{y} = \frac{3 + 5 + 8 + 9 + 10}{5} = \frac{35}{5} = 7

Calculating the slope (b1b_1) and intercept (b0b_0):

The formula for the slope b1b_1 is: b1=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b_1 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}

The formula for the intercept b0b_0 is: b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1 \bar{x}

Let me compute those. numpy as np

Data

x = np.array([20, 39, 43, 44, 47]) y = np.array([3, 5, 8, 9, 10])

Means

x_bar = np.mean(x) y_bar = np.mean(y)

Calculating b1 (slope)

numerator = np.sum((x - x_bar) * (y - y_bar)) denominator = np.sum((x - x_bar) ** 2) b1 = numerator / denominator

Calculating b0 (intercept)

b0 = y_bar - b1 * x_bar

b1, b0The calculated values for the regression coefficients are:

  • Slope b1b_1 ≈ 0.245
  • Intercept b0b_0 ≈ -2.459

Step 2: Calculate the estimated value of yy when x=43x = 43

Now, we can use the regression equation y^=b0+b1x\hat{y} = b_0 + b_1x to find the estimated number of bids when the price is $43.

y^=2.459+0.245×43\hat{y} = -2.459 + 0.245 \times 43 y^=2.459+10.535\hat{y} = -2.459 + 10.535 y^8.076\hat{y} ≈ 8.076

So, the estimated number of bids when the price is $43 is approximately 8.076.

Would you like further details or have any questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How do you interpret the slope and intercept of the regression line?
  2. How do you calculate the correlation coefficient for this data?
  3. What is the significance of statistical tests for correlation in regression?
  4. How can you calculate the standard error of the regression?
  5. What would happen if the price was higher or lower than the given range in the dataset?

Tip:

To improve the accuracy of predictions in real-world applications, always check for the statistical significance of the regression model by evaluating the correlation coefficient and conducting hypothesis tests.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Correlation Coefficient

Formulas

Regression equation: yˆ = b0 + b1x
Slope formula: b1 = Σ(xi - x̄)(yi - ȳ) / Σ(xi - x̄)²
Intercept formula: b0 = ȳ - b1x̄

Theorems

Least Squares Regression
Correlation Coefficient Interpretation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12