Math Problem Statement

The professor of an introductory calculus class has stated that, historically, the distribution of final exam grades in the course resembles a normal distribution with a mean final exam mark of μ = 61% and a standard deviation of σ = 11%. (a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark in this course will be at least 70%? Answer to four decimals. (b) In order to pass this course, a student must have a final exam mark of at least 50%. What proportion of students will not pass the final exam? Use four decimals in your answer. (c) The top 3% of students writing the final exam will receive a letter grade of at least A in the course. To two decimal places, find the minimum final exam mark needed to earn a letter grade of at least A in the course. (d) Suppose this professor randomly picked 28 final exams, observing the earned mark on each. What is the probability that 4 of these exams will have a grade of less than 50%? Use four decimals in your answer.

Solution

This problem deals with a normal distribution for final exam scores, where the mean μ=61%\mu = 61\% and the standard deviation σ=11%\sigma = 11\%. Let's go through each part:

Part (a)

We are asked to find the probability that a randomly chosen exam mark is at least 70%. This requires finding the z-score for 70% and then using a standard normal distribution table.

The z-score formula is: z=xμσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} Where:

  • x=70%x = 70\%
  • μ=61%\mu = 61\%
  • σ=11%\sigma = 11\%

z=706111=9110.8182z = \frac{70 - 61}{11} = \frac{9}{11} \approx 0.8182

Now, using the standard normal distribution table or a calculator, we can find the area to the left of z=0.8182z = 0.8182, which is approximately 0.7939. Therefore, the area to the right, representing the probability of scoring at least 70%, is:

P(X70)=10.7939=0.2061P(X \geq 70) = 1 - 0.7939 = 0.2061

Thus, the probability is approximately 0.2061.

Part (b)

We are asked to find the proportion of students who will not pass the final exam if the passing mark is 50%.

We again use the z-score formula, with x=50%x = 50\%:

z=506111=1111=1z = \frac{50 - 61}{11} = \frac{-11}{11} = -1

From the z-table, the area to the left of z=1z = -1 is approximately 0.1587. Therefore, the proportion of students who will not pass is 0.1587.

Part (c)

This part asks for the minimum final exam mark that corresponds to the top 3% of students. We are looking for the z-score that corresponds to the 97th percentile (since the top 3% corresponds to a cumulative area of 0.97).

From the z-table, the z-score corresponding to 0.97 is approximately z=1.88z = 1.88.

Using the z-score formula to solve for xx: 1.88=x61111.88 = \frac{x - 61}{11} x61=1.88×1120.68x - 61 = 1.88 \times 11 \approx 20.68 x=61+20.68=81.68x = 61 + 20.68 = 81.68

Thus, the minimum mark needed for an A is approximately 81.68%.

Part (d)

We are asked to find the probability that 4 out of 28 exams will have a grade of less than 50%. The probability of getting less than 50% is P(X<50)P(X < 50), which we found in part (b) to be 0.1587.

This is a binomial probability problem, where:

  • n=28n = 28,
  • k=4k = 4,
  • p=0.1587p = 0.1587.

The binomial probability formula is: P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} Substituting in the values: P(X=4)=(284)(0.1587)4(10.1587)24P(X = 4) = \binom{28}{4} (0.1587)^4 (1 - 0.1587)^{24}

Let me calculate that for you:

P(X=4)0.1923P(X = 4) \approx 0.1923

So, the probability that 4 of the 28 exams will have a grade less than 50% is approximately 0.1923.


Would you like further clarifications or more details on any of these steps? Here are some related questions you might consider:

  1. How do z-scores relate to normal distributions?
  2. Can you explain how to interpret the z-table?
  3. What is the difference between cumulative and point probabilities in a normal distribution?
  4. How would the answers change if the mean exam score was 65% instead of 61%?
  5. How is the binomial distribution related to the normal distribution?

Tip: When solving normal distribution problems, always check if you need to find the area to the left or right of the z-score to avoid mistakes.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

Z-score formula: z = (x - μ) / σ
Binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

Theorems

Empirical Rule for Normal Distributions
Properties of Z-scores in Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College-level or Advanced High School