Math Problem Statement

The professor of an introductory calculus class has stated that, historically, the distribution of final exam grades in the course resembles a normal distribution with a mean final exam mark of 62% and a standard deviation of 11%. (a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark in this course will be at least 73%? Answer to four decimals. (b) In order to pass this course, a student must have a final exam mark of at least 50%. What proportion of students will not pass the final exam? Use four decimals in your answer. (c) The top 7% of students writing the final exam will receive a letter grade of at least A in the course. To two decimal places, find the minimum final exam mark needed to earn a letter grade of at least A in the course. (d) Suppose this professor randomly picked 28 final exams, observing the earned mark on each. What is the probability that 5 of these exams will have a grade of less than 50%? Use four decimals in your answer.

Solution

Let's go through the questions in your image one by one.

The problem gives:

  • Mean final exam mark, μ=62%\mu = 62\%
  • Standard deviation, σ=11%\sigma = 11\%
  • The distribution is normal.

Part (a): Probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark will be at least 73%

We are looking for P(X73)P(X \geq 73) where XX is the exam mark.

First, we compute the z-score: z=Xμσ=736211=1111=1z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{73 - 62}{11} = \frac{11}{11} = 1

Now, using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, we find the probability corresponding to z=1z = 1.

From a standard normal distribution table: P(Z1)=0.8413P(Z \leq 1) = 0.8413 Thus, the probability that a student scores at least 73% is: P(X73)=1P(Z1)=10.8413=0.1587P(X \geq 73) = 1 - P(Z \leq 1) = 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587 Answer: 0.1587

Part (b): Proportion of students not passing with a 50% threshold

We are looking for P(X<50)P(X < 50).

First, compute the z-score: z=506211=12111.0909z = \frac{50 - 62}{11} = \frac{-12}{11} \approx -1.0909

Using the standard normal table for z=1.09z = -1.09: P(Z1.09)=0.1379P(Z \leq -1.09) = 0.1379 Thus, the proportion of students who do not pass is approximately: P(X<50)=0.1379P(X < 50) = 0.1379 Answer: 0.1379

Part (c): Minimum final exam mark needed for top 7%

We are looking for the final exam score corresponding to the top 7%, which means the 93rd percentile in a normal distribution.

From the standard normal distribution table, the z-score corresponding to 0.93 is approximately 1.475.

Now, use the z-score formula to find the exam mark: X=μ+zσ=62+(1.475)(11)62+16.225=78.23X = \mu + z\sigma = 62 + (1.475)(11) \approx 62 + 16.225 = 78.23 Answer: 78.23%

Part (d): Probability that 5 of 28 exams have a mark less than 50%

This is a binomial problem where:

  • n=28n = 28
  • p=0.1379p = 0.1379 (from part b)
  • We want P(X=5)P(X = 5), where XX is the number of exams with a mark less than 50.

The binomial probability formula is: P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} Substitute n=28n = 28, k=5k = 5, and p=0.1379p = 0.1379:

P(X=5)=(285)(0.1379)5(0.8621)23P(X = 5) = \binom{28}{5} (0.1379)^5 (0.8621)^{23}

Let me calculate that for you:

P(X=5)0.1885P(X = 5) \approx 0.1885 Answer: 0.1885


Do you need further details on any of the parts? Here are some related questions you can try:

  1. How does changing the standard deviation affect the results in part (a)?
  2. What happens to the pass rate if the passing grade is increased to 60%?
  3. How would the result in part (c) change if only the top 5% of students earned an A?
  4. If a student scores in the top 10%, what is their approximate exam mark?
  5. How would you calculate the expected number of students passing the exam out of a group of 50?

Tip: Using z-scores is crucial when working with normal distributions, as they allow for easy standardization and reference to standard tables.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Binomial Probability
Percentiles

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X = k) = (n choose k) p^k (1 - p)^(n - k)

Theorems

Standard Normal Distribution
Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Introductory Calculus or Probability and Statistics)