Math Problem Statement
The professor of a Statistics class has stated that, historically, the distribution of final exam grades in the course resemble a Normal distribution with a mean final exam mark of 66% and a standard deviation of 13%. (a) What is the probability that a random chosen final exam mark in this course will be at least 71%?
(b) In order to pass this course, a student must have a final exam mark of at least 50%. What proportion of students will not pass the statistics final exam?
(c) The top 5.9% of students writing the final exam will receive a letter grade of at least an A in the course. Find the minimum final exam mark needed on the statistics final to earn a letter grade of at least an A in the course.
%
Solution
To solve these problems, we will use the properties of the normal distribution, specifically the standard normal distribution (Z-scores).
Given:
- Mean () = 66%
- Standard deviation () = 13%
(a) Probability of scoring at least 71%
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Calculate the Z-score for 71%:
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Find the probability of . This is done by looking up the Z-score in the standard normal distribution table or using a calculator.
From standard normal distribution tables or calculators:
Thus,
So, the probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark is at least 71% is approximately 0.3496 or 34.96%.
(b) Proportion of students who will not pass (final exam mark < 50%)
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Calculate the Z-score for 50%:
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Find the probability of :
So, approximately 10.96% of students will not pass the statistics final exam.
(c) Minimum final exam mark needed for at least an A (top 5.9%)
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To find the Z-score corresponding to the top 5.9%, we look for (since 1 - 0.059 = 0.941).
From Z-tables or calculators, we find:
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Convert the Z-score back to the exam mark:
Thus, the minimum final exam mark needed to earn at least an A in the course is approximately 86.22%.
Summary of Answers:
- (a) Probability of at least 71%: 34.96%
- (b) Proportion not passing: 10.96%
- (c) Minimum mark for an A: 86.22%
Would you like any further details or explanations on these calculations? Here are some questions for further exploration:
- How does the normal distribution apply to different types of exam grading?
- What is the significance of the standard deviation in this context?
- How can one estimate the mean and standard deviation from a set of grades?
- What other statistical methods can be used to analyze exam results?
- How does the concept of Z-scores help in comparing different distributions?
Tip: Always visualize the normal distribution curve when calculating probabilities to better understand the areas under the curve corresponding to Z-scores.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Normal Distribution
Probability
Z-scores
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(Z ≥ z) = 1 - P(Z ≤ z)
X = μ + Z * σ
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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