Math Problem Statement

The mean travel time to work for individuals in a particular city is = 31.5 minutes. The population standard deviation o is = 12 minutes. A sample of 50 residents of the city is selected. (i) Show the sampling distribution of x where x is the sample mean travel time to work for the 50 residents. (ii) What is the probability that the sample mean will be within # 1 minute of the population mean? (iti) What is the probability that the sample mean will be within 3 minutes of the population mean? Calculate properly n explain also

Solution

To solve the problem, we analyze the sampling distribution and calculate the probabilities. Let’s break it down step by step.


(i) Sampling Distribution of xˉ\bar{x}

The sampling distribution of the sample mean xˉ\bar{x} has the following properties:

  1. Mean (μxˉ\mu_{\bar{x}}):
    The mean of the sampling distribution is equal to the population mean:
    μxˉ=μ=31.5minutes.\mu_{\bar{x}} = \mu = 31.5 \, \text{minutes}.

  2. Standard Error (σxˉ\sigma_{\bar{x}}):
    The standard error of the sample mean is calculated using the formula:
    σxˉ=σn=1250=127.0711.697minutes.\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{12}{\sqrt{50}} = \frac{12}{7.071} \approx 1.697 \, \text{minutes}.

Thus, the sampling distribution of xˉ\bar{x} is normally distributed with:
xˉN(31.5,1.697).\bar{x} \sim N(31.5, 1.697).


(ii) Probability that xˉ\bar{x} is within 1 minute of the population mean

We are asked for the probability that xˉ\bar{x} is within 1 minute of the population mean, i.e.,
P(30.5xˉ32.5).P(30.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 32.5).

We convert the values to standard zz-scores using the formula:
z=xˉμσxˉ.z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}}.

For xˉ=30.5\bar{x} = 30.5:
z=30.531.51.697=11.6970.589.z = \frac{30.5 - 31.5}{1.697} = \frac{-1}{1.697} \approx -0.589.

For xˉ=32.5\bar{x} = 32.5:
z=32.531.51.697=11.6970.589.z = \frac{32.5 - 31.5}{1.697} = \frac{1}{1.697} \approx 0.589.

The probability is:
P(30.5xˉ32.5)=P(0.589z0.589).P(30.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 32.5) = P(-0.589 \leq z \leq 0.589).

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, we find:
P(0.589z0.589)0.4433.P(-0.589 \leq z \leq 0.589) \approx 0.4433.

Thus, the probability is approximately 44.33%.


(iii) Probability that xˉ\bar{x} is within 3 minutes of the population mean

Here, we calculate P(28.5xˉ34.5)P(28.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 34.5):
P(28.5xˉ34.5).P(28.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 34.5).

For xˉ=28.5\bar{x} = 28.5:
z=28.531.51.697=31.6971.768.z = \frac{28.5 - 31.5}{1.697} = \frac{-3}{1.697} \approx -1.768.

For xˉ=34.5\bar{x} = 34.5:
z=34.531.51.697=31.6971.768.z = \frac{34.5 - 31.5}{1.697} = \frac{3}{1.697} \approx 1.768.

The probability is:
P(28.5xˉ34.5)=P(1.768z1.768).P(28.5 \leq \bar{x} \leq 34.5) = P(-1.768 \leq z \leq 1.768).

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, we find:
P(1.768z1.768)0.9228.P(-1.768 \leq z \leq 1.768) \approx 0.9228.

Thus, the probability is approximately 92.28%.


Summary of Results

  1. The sampling distribution of xˉ\bar{x} is N(31.5,1.697)N(31.5, 1.697).
  2. The probability that xˉ\bar{x} is within 1 minute of the population mean is 44.33%.
  3. The probability that xˉ\bar{x} is within 3 minutes of the population mean is 92.28%.

Do you want a detailed breakdown of how to use the zz-table or a plot of the normal distribution?

Relative Questions

  1. How is the standard error of the mean derived, and why does it depend on the sample size?
  2. Why does the probability increase when the range around the mean is widened?
  3. What happens to the sampling distribution if the sample size increases to 100?
  4. How would the probabilities change if the population standard deviation were larger, say 15 minutes?
  5. Why is the normal distribution used for the sampling distribution of the mean?

Tip: Always confirm whether the sample size is large enough to approximate the sampling distribution as normal.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Sampling Distribution
Probability
Standard Normal Distribution

Formulas

Standard Error of the Mean: σ/√n
Z-Score Formula: (x - μ) / σ
Normal Distribution Probability

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12