Math Problem Statement

In studying causes of power failures, it has been found that 5% are due to transformer damage, 80% are due to line damage, and 1% involve both problems. based on this percentages, find the probability that a given power failure involves (i) transformer damage or line damage; (ii) transformer damage but not line damage

Solution

Let's analyze the information given to determine the probabilities.

Let:

  • TT be the event of transformer damage.
  • LL be the event of line damage.

The probabilities are provided as follows:

  • P(T)=0.05P(T) = 0.05 (probability of transformer damage),
  • P(L)=0.80P(L) = 0.80 (probability of line damage),
  • P(TL)=0.01P(T \cap L) = 0.01 (probability of both transformer and line damage).

(i) Probability of Transformer Damage or Line Damage

To find the probability that a given power failure involves either transformer damage or line damage (event TLT \cup L), we use the formula for the union of two events:

P(TL)=P(T)+P(L)P(TL)P(T \cup L) = P(T) + P(L) - P(T \cap L)

Substitute the values:

P(TL)=0.05+0.800.01=0.84P(T \cup L) = 0.05 + 0.80 - 0.01 = 0.84

So, the probability that a given power failure involves either transformer damage or line damage is 0.84 or 84%.

(ii) Probability of Transformer Damage but Not Line Damage

To find the probability that a power failure involves transformer damage but not line damage (event TT and not LL), we calculate P(TLc)P(T \cap L^c), where LcL^c is the complement of LL.

The probability of TT and not LL can be found by subtracting the probability of both transformer and line damage from the probability of transformer damage:

P(TLc)=P(T)P(TL)P(T \cap L^c) = P(T) - P(T \cap L)

Substitute the values:

P(TLc)=0.050.01=0.04P(T \cap L^c) = 0.05 - 0.01 = 0.04

Thus, the probability that a power failure involves transformer damage but not line damage is 0.04 or 4%.


Would you like further explanation or examples on any of these calculations?

Related Questions

  1. What is the probability that a power failure involves neither transformer nor line damage?
  2. How would the probabilities change if both problems occurred in 5% of cases?
  3. What is the probability of only line damage occurring?
  4. If 1000 power failures occurred, how many would likely involve both transformer and line damage?
  5. How would you calculate the probability of a power failure involving any other type of problem?

Tip: When dealing with probabilities of combined events, always check if events are mutually exclusive or not.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Events
Union and Intersection of Events
Complement of an Event

Formulas

P(T ∪ L) = P(T) + P(L) - P(T ∩ L)
P(T ∩ L^c) = P(T) - P(T ∩ L)

Theorems

Addition Rule for Probability
Complement Rule

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12