Math Problem Statement

A power transformer in a substation must reliably handle load currents with- out overheating. The load current It and the transformer's current capacity Ic are both normally distributed. The load current It has a mean of 1200 A and a standard deviation of 100 A. The current capacity Io of the trans- former has a mean of 1500 A and a standard deviation of 150 A. The limit state function is given by: g(IC, IL) = IC - IL. Calculate the reliability index ẞ for the power transformer. Also, determine the design point or MPP in the original variable space. [Ans: ẞ ≈ 1.6641; (I, I₁) ≈ (1292.3, 1292.3)]

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to calculate the reliability index (ẞ) for the power transformer. The reliability index is a measure of how likely the system is to meet its performance requirements, i.e., ensuring that the load current ILI_L does not exceed the transformer's current capacity ICI_C.

Given Information:

  • Load current ILI_L is normally distributed with:

    • Mean μL=1200A\mu_L = 1200 \, \text{A}
    • Standard deviation σL=100A\sigma_L = 100 \, \text{A}
  • Current capacity ICI_C is normally distributed with:

    • Mean μC=1500A\mu_C = 1500 \, \text{A}
    • Standard deviation σC=150A\sigma_C = 150 \, \text{A}

Limit State Function:

The limit state function is defined as: g(IC,IL)=ICILg(I_C, I_L) = I_C - I_L The transformer is safe when g(IC,IL)>0g(I_C, I_L) > 0, meaning the current capacity exceeds the load current.

Step 1: Compute the Reliability Index

The reliability index is given by the formula: =μCμLσC2+σL2ẞ = \frac{\mu_C - \mu_L}{\sqrt{\sigma_C^2 + \sigma_L^2}}

Calculate the combined standard deviation:

σg=σC2+σL2=(150)2+(100)2=22500+10000=32500180.28\sigma_g = \sqrt{\sigma_C^2 + \sigma_L^2} = \sqrt{(150)^2 + (100)^2} = \sqrt{22500 + 10000} = \sqrt{32500} \approx 180.28

Calculate the reliability index :

=μCμLσg=15001200180.28300180.281.664ẞ = \frac{\mu_C - \mu_L}{\sigma_g} = \frac{1500 - 1200}{180.28} \approx \frac{300}{180.28} \approx 1.664

Thus, the reliability index is approximately 1.664.

Step 2: Determine the Design Point (Most Probable Point, MPP

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Reliability Theory
Normal Distribution

Formulas

ẞ = (μC - μL) / sqrt(σC² + σL²)
σg = sqrt(σC² + σL²)

Theorems

Reliability Index Calculation
Limit State Function

Suitable Grade Level

University Level (Engineering or Applied Mathematics)