Math Problem Statement

Suppose that the probabilities are 0.4, 0.3, 0.2 and 0.1 that there will be 0, 1, 2, or 3 power failures in a certain city during the month of July. Find the mean and variance of this probability distribution

Solution

To find the mean and variance of a probability distribution, we use the following formulas:

  1. Mean (Expected Value), E(X)E(X): E(X)=xiP(xi)E(X) = \sum x_i \cdot P(x_i) where xix_i is the value of the random variable and P(xi)P(x_i) is the probability associated with xix_i.

  2. Variance, Var(X)\text{Var}(X): Var(X)=E(X2)(E(X))2\text{Var}(X) = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2 where E(X2)=xi2P(xi)E(X^2) = \sum x_i^2 \cdot P(x_i).

Given Data

  • Probabilities: P(0)=0.4P(0) = 0.4, P(1)=0.3P(1) = 0.3, P(2)=0.2P(2) = 0.2, P(3)=0.1P(3) = 0.1
  • Values of the random variable XX: 0,1,2,30, 1, 2, 3

Step 1: Calculate the Mean (Expected Value)

E(X)=00.4+10.3+20.2+30.1E(X) = 0 \cdot 0.4 + 1 \cdot 0.3 + 2 \cdot 0.2 + 3 \cdot 0.1

Step 2: Calculate E(X2)E(X^2)

E(X2)=020.4+120.3+220.2+320.1E(X^2) = 0^2 \cdot 0.4 + 1^2 \cdot 0.3 + 2^2 \cdot 0.2 + 3^2 \cdot 0.1

Step 3: Calculate the Variance

Var(X)=E(X2)(E(X))2\text{Var}(X) = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2

Let's compute these values.The mean (expected value) and variance of the probability distribution are both 1.0.

Summary:

  • Mean (Expected Value), E(X)E(X): 1.0
  • Variance, Var(X)\text{Var}(X): 1.0

Would you like more details or have any questions?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the standard deviation of this distribution?
  2. How would the mean and variance change if the probabilities were altered?
  3. Can we determine the skewness of this distribution?
  4. What is the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for this probability distribution?
  5. How do we interpret these statistics in real-world terms for power failures?

Tip:

Understanding variance helps in assessing the spread or variability of a distribution, which is crucial for risk assessment and decision-making in real-world scenarios.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Distribution
Expected Value
Variance

Formulas

Mean (Expected Value) E(X) = Σ x_i * P(x_i)
Variance Var(X) = E(X^2) - (E(X))^2
E(X^2) = Σ x_i^2 * P(x_i)

Theorems

Law of Expectation
Properties of Variance

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12