Math Problem Statement
A manufacturer knows that their items have a normally distributed lifespan, with a mean of 6.8 years, and standard deviation of 1.4 years.
If you randomly purchase one item, what is the probability it will last longer than 5 years?
Round answer to three decimal places
Solution
To solve this problem, we need to find the probability that a randomly selected item will last longer than 5 years. This is a normal distribution problem, so we will use the Z-score formula:
Where:
- (the value we are interested in),
- (the mean lifespan),
- (the standard deviation).
Step 1: Calculate the Z-score
Step 2: Find the probability corresponding to the Z-score
We now need to look up the probability associated with a Z-score of -1.286 in a standard normal distribution table, or use a calculator. The Z-table gives the cumulative probability for values less than a given Z-score.
The cumulative probability for is approximately 0.0996. This means the probability that the item lasts less than 5 years is 0.0996.
Step 3: Find the probability of lasting longer than 5 years
To find the probability that the item lasts longer than 5 years, we subtract the cumulative probability from 1:
Final Answer:
The probability that a randomly purchased item will last longer than 5 years is approximately .
Would you like more details or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions for deeper exploration:
- What is the probability that an item will last between 5 and 7 years?
- If the manufacturer guarantees items for 4 years, what percentage of items will last beyond the warranty?
- What lifespan corresponds to the 95th percentile?
- How does the probability change if the standard deviation increases to 2 years?
- What is the Z-score for an item lasting exactly 8 years?
Tip: For normally distributed data, the empirical rule states that approximately 68% of values fall within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two, and 99.7% within three.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X > 5) = 1 - P(Z ≤ -1.286)
Theorems
Standard Normal Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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