Math Problem Statement

A manufacturer knows that their items have a normally distributed lifespan, with a mean of 10.7 years, and standard deviation of 1.3 years. If you randomly purchase 6 items, what is the probability that their mean life will be longer than 11 years?

Solution

We are given the following information in this problem:

  • The lifespan of items is normally distributed with a mean (μ\mu) of 10.7 years and a standard deviation (σ\sigma) of 1.3 years.
  • You purchase 6 items, and the goal is to find the probability that their mean life will be longer than 11 years.

Step-by-Step Approach:

  1. Find the standard error of the mean (SEM) for the sample: SEM=σn=1.36\text{SEM} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{1.3}{\sqrt{6}} where n=6n = 6 is the number of items purchased.

  2. Find the z-score for the sample mean of 11 years: z=sample meanμSEM=1110.7SEMz = \frac{\text{sample mean} - \mu}{\text{SEM}} = \frac{11 - 10.7}{\text{SEM}}

  3. Use the z-score to find the probability from the standard normal distribution. This will give the probability that the sample mean is less than 11 years, and subtracting that value from 1 will give the probability that the sample mean is more than 11 years.

Let me calculate the exact probability for you.The z-score for a sample mean of 11 years is approximately 0.57. Using this z-score, the probability that the sample mean lifespan will be longer than 11 years is approximately 0.286 (or 28.6%).

Would you like any further details or have questions?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How would the probability change if the sample size increased to 10?
  2. What if the standard deviation were smaller, say 1.0 years?
  3. How can we interpret the z-score in this context?
  4. What is the probability that the mean lifespan is less than 10 years?
  5. How does the Central Limit Theorem apply to this problem?

Tip: When working with the normal distribution, increasing the sample size reduces the standard error, making estimates more precise.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Z-score
Sampling

Formulas

Standard Error of the Mean: SEM = σ / sqrt(n)
Z-score: z = (sample mean - μ) / SEM

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or early college-level (statistics)