Math Problem Statement

from a lot of 10 items containing 3 defectives, a sample of 4 items is drawn at random. Let the random variable X denote the no. of defective items in the sample is drawn without replacement, find the probability distribution of X

(i) probability distribution of X

(ii) P(X is less than and equal to 1)

(iii) P(X is less than 1)

(iv) P( x is less than 2 but greater than 1)

Solution

Given a lot of 10 items containing 3 defective items, a sample of 4 items is drawn at random without replacement. Let the random variable XX denote the number of defective items in the sample.

(i) Probability Distribution of XX

Since the sample is drawn without replacement, XX can take values 00, 11, 22, or 33 because there can be 0, 1, 2, or 3 defective items in the sample. The probability distribution of XX is calculated using the hypergeometric distribution formula:

P(X=x)=(3x)(74x)(104)P(X = x) = \frac{\binom{3}{x} \binom{7}{4-x}}{\binom{10}{4}}

Where:

  • (3x)\binom{3}{x} is the number of ways to choose xx defective items from 3.
  • (74x)\binom{7}{4-x} is the number of ways to choose 4x4-x non-defective items from 7.
  • (104)\binom{10}{4} is the total number of ways to choose 4 items from 10.

Let's compute these probabilities:

  1. P(X=0)P(X = 0): P(X=0)=(30)(74)(104)=1×35210=35210=160.1667P(X = 0) = \frac{\binom{3}{0} \binom{7}{4}}{\binom{10}{4}} = \frac{1 \times 35}{210} = \frac{35}{210} = \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.1667

  2. P(X=1)P(X = 1): P(X=1)=(31)(73)(104)=3×35210=105210=12=0.5P(X = 1) = \frac{\binom{3}{1} \binom{7}{3}}{\binom{10}{4}} = \frac{3 \times 35}{210} = \frac{105}{210} = \frac{1}{2} = 0.5

  3. P(X=2)P(X = 2): P(X=2)=(32)(72)(104)=3×21210=63210=310=0.3P(X = 2) = \frac{\binom{3}{2} \binom{7}{2}}{\binom{10}{4}} = \frac{3 \times 21}{210} = \frac{63}{210} = \frac{3}{10} = 0.3

  4. P(X=3)P(X = 3): P(X=3)=(33)(71)(104)=1×7210=72100.0333P(X = 3) = \frac{\binom{3}{3} \binom{7}{1}}{\binom{10}{4}} = \frac{1 \times 7}{210} = \frac{7}{210} \approx 0.0333

So, the probability distribution of XX is: P(X=0)=0.1667,P(X=1)=0.5,P(X=2)=0.3,P(X=3)=0.0333P(X = 0) = 0.1667, \quad P(X = 1) = 0.5, \quad P(X = 2) = 0.3, \quad P(X = 3) = 0.0333

(ii) P(X1)P(X \leq 1)

This is the probability that XX is less than or equal to 1. It is the sum of P(X=0)P(X = 0) and P(X=1)P(X = 1): P(X1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)=0.1667+0.5=0.6667P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.1667 + 0.5 = 0.6667

(iii) P(X<1)P(X < 1)

This is the probability that XX is less than 1, which is the probability of X=0X = 0: P(X<1)=P(X=0)=0.1667P(X < 1) = P(X = 0) = 0.1667

(iv) P(1<X<2)P(1 < X < 2)

This is the probability that XX is greater than 1 but less than 2. However, since XX is a discrete variable, P(1<X<2)P(1 < X < 2) is the probability that X=2X = 2: P(1<X<2)=P(X=2)=0.3P(1 < X < 2) = P(X = 2) = 0.3

Summary:

  1. Probability distribution of XX: P(X=0)=0.1667P(X = 0) = 0.1667, P(X=1)=0.5P(X = 1) = 0.5, P(X=2)=0.3P(X = 2) = 0.3, P(X=3)=0.0333P(X = 3) = 0.0333.
  2. P(X1)=0.6667P(X \leq 1) = 0.6667
  3. P(X<1)=0.1667P(X < 1) = 0.1667
  4. P(1<X<2)=0.3P(1 < X < 2) = 0.3

Would you like any further explanation or details on this? Here are five related questions:

  1. How does the hypergeometric distribution differ from the binomial distribution?
  2. What is the expected value E(X)E(X) for the given distribution?
  3. How would the distribution change if the sample size was increased to 5?
  4. Can the variance of XX be computed, and how would it be used?
  5. What would the probability distribution look like if the sample was drawn with replacement?

Tip: Understanding the hypergeometric distribution is essential for analyzing scenarios involving sampling without replacement, often used in quality control and other real-world applications.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Hypergeometric Distribution
Combinatorics

Formulas

Hypergeometric distribution formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

College