Math Problem Statement
Based on a smartphone survey, assume that
4949%
of adults with smartphones use them in theaters. In a separate survey of
226226
adults with smartphones, it is found that
108108
use them in theaters.
a. If the
4949%
rate is correct, find the probability of getting
108108
or fewer smartphone owners who use them in theaters.
b. Is the result of
108108
significantly low?
Solution
To answer the questions, we will use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.
Part (a): Find the probability of getting 108 or fewer smartphone owners who use them in theaters.
Step 1: Define the parameters
We have:
- : the number of adults surveyed
- : the proportion of adults with smartphones who use them in theaters
We want to find the probability of getting 108 or fewer smartphone owners who use them in theaters, i.e., .
Step 2: Check the conditions for normal approximation
For the normal approximation to be valid, both and should be greater than 5:
Both values are greater than 5, so the normal approximation is appropriate.
Step 3: Find the mean and standard deviation of the binomial distribution
- Mean
- Standard deviation
Step 4: Apply the continuity correction
For , we use .
Step 5: Convert to the standard normal distribution
We convert the binomial problem to a standard normal distribution problem using the -score formula:
For :
Step 6: Find the probability
Using the standard normal distribution table (or a calculator), we find the probability corresponding to :
So, the probability of getting 108 or fewer smartphone owners who use them in theaters is approximately 0.3821, or 38.21%.
Part (b): Is the result of 108 significantly low?
To determine if 108 is significantly low, we can use the concept of a significance level (commonly for a 5% significance level). If the probability found in part (a) is less than , we would consider the result significantly low.
Here, the probability is 0.3821, which is much greater than 0.05. Therefore, the result of 108 smartphone owners using their phones in theaters is not significantly low.
Would you like more details or have any questions?
Related Questions:
- What is the probability of getting exactly 108 smartphone owners who use them in theaters?
- What is the probability of getting more than 120 smartphone owners who use them in theaters?
- How would the probability change if the percentage was 55% instead of 49%?
- What is the expected number of smartphone owners who use them in theaters?
- How does the standard deviation affect the shape of the normal curve in this context?
- What is the Z-score for 108 smartphone owners?
- How would the probability change if 300 adults were surveyed instead of 226?
- How can the normal approximation be validated against the exact binomial probability?
Tip:
When assessing the significance of a result, compare the calculated probability to the chosen significance level to determine if it is statistically significant.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Probability
Formulas
Binomial Probability Formula
Normal Distribution Formula
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Advanced High School
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