Math Problem Statement
. Imagine you're conducting a survey to determine the probability of a person buying a new iPhone after viewing an advertisement for the updated iPhone. Based on past data, you know that historically 30% of people who view this advertisement end up buying a new iPhone. You're interested in the probability that out of 10 people who view the advertisement, more than 7 will buy a new iPhone
Solution
To determine the probability that more than 7 out of 10 people will buy a new iPhone after viewing an advertisement, given that historically 30% of people who see the ad make a purchase, we can model this situation using a binomial distribution.
Problem Setup:
- n = 10 (the number of people who view the ad),
- p = 0.30 (the probability that a single person buys the iPhone after viewing the ad),
- We need to find the probability that more than 7 people (i.e., 8, 9, or 10 people) buy the iPhone.
Binomial Probability Formula:
For a binomial distribution, the probability of getting exactly successes (people buying the iPhone) is given by:
Where:
- is the binomial coefficient, which is calculated as ,
- is the probability of success (in this case, 0.30),
- is the number of trials (10 people),
- is the number of successes we are interested in.
Steps to Solve:
We need to find , which means:
Let’s calculate each term individually. I'll do the computation to sum up these probabilities.The probability that more than 7 out of 10 people will buy a new iPhone after viewing the advertisement is approximately 0.00159, or about 0.16%.
Would you like further details or clarifications?
Here are 5 related questions to expand on this:
- How does the probability change if 15 people view the advertisement instead of 10?
- What is the probability that exactly 5 people will buy the iPhone?
- Can you explain the concept of a binomial distribution in more detail?
- How would the probability change if the historical data showed 50% of viewers bought the iPhone?
- How does the binomial distribution relate to the normal distribution?
Tip: In a binomial distribution, as the number of trials increases, the distribution starts to resemble a normal distribution, especially when and are both large.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Statistics
Formulas
P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
P(X > 7) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
College/University level (Probability and Statistics)
Related Recommendation
Probability of Using Phones for Purchasing Decisions: Binomial Distribution
Probability of Exactly 3 Out of 10 Customers Buying a Magazine Using Binomial Distribution
Calculate Probability for Binomial Distribution Problem: 15 Customers Using Phones for Purchasing Decisions
Binomial Probability Problem: 40% of Consumers Prefer Electronics Online
Binomial Probability: Finding Probability that Fewer than 3 Consumers Believe Cash Will Be Obsolete