Math Problem Statement
Based on a smartphone survey, assume that 52% of adults with smartphones use them in theaters. In a separate survey of 264 adults with smartphones, it is found that 134 use them in theaters. a. If the 52% rate is correct, find the probability of getting 134 or fewer smartphone owners who use them in theaters. b. Is the result of 134 significantly low? Question content area bottom Part 1
Solution
This problem involves calculating the probability of observing 134 or fewer adults using smartphones in theaters given that the true population proportion is 52%. We will solve it using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.
Part (a): Find the Probability of Getting 134 or Fewer Smartphone Users
1. Define the variables
- Sample size:
- Proportion of smartphone users who use them in theaters:
- Complement:
- Observed number:
2. Find the mean and standard deviation
Using the formulas for the mean and standard deviation of a binomial distribution:
3. Apply the normal approximation to the binomial distribution
We can approximate the binomial distribution using a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation . We also apply the continuity correction by subtracting 0.5 from 134 to account for the discrete nature of the binomial distribution.
Thus, we need to find:
4. Standardize the value using the Z-score formula
5. Find the probability from the Z-table
Using a Z-table, we look up the probability corresponding to .
So, the probability of getting 134 or fewer smartphone users who use them in theaters is approximately:
Part (b): Is the result of 134 significantly low?
To determine if 134 is significantly low, we compare its Z-score with typical significance levels. Common thresholds are Z = -1.96 for a 5% significance level (two-tailed) or Z = -1.645 for a 5% significance level (one-tailed).
- Z-score we found:
Since is not below these critical Z-scores, 134 is not significantly low. There is a reasonable chance (34.46%) of getting 134 or fewer smartphone users, assuming the true proportion is 52%.
Final Answer
(a) The probability of getting 134 or fewer smartphone users who use them in theaters is approximately 0.3446.
(b) No, the result of 134 is not significantly low.
Would you like more details or have any follow-up questions?
Here are 5 related questions you might find interesting:
- How does the continuity correction affect normal approximation in binomial distributions?
- What is the difference between a one-tailed and two-tailed Z-test?
- How would the answer change if the proportion was 60% instead of 52%?
- When should we use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution?
- How do changes in sample size affect the mean and standard deviation in binomial distributions?
Tip: If the sample size is large and the success probability is close to 0.5, the normal approximation becomes more accurate.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Z-score
Probability
Formulas
Mean (μ) = n * p
Standard Deviation (σ) = sqrt(n * p * (1 - p))
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
College Statistics
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