Math Problem Statement

Need short answer

A marketing manager wants to predict the monthly sales (in $) based on the amount spent on advertising (in $). The data collected from the last 10 months is as follows: Advertising Cost (X) and Sales (Y). Tasks: 1. Fit a simple linear regression model to the data with Advertising Cost (X) as the independent variable and Sales (Y) as the dependent variable. 2. Write the regression equation (Y = a + bX). 3. Predict the sales when the advertising cost is $7,000.

Solution

Let's solve this in steps based on the tasks given:

  1. Fit a simple linear regression model
    We have the data points for Advertising Cost (X) and Sales (Y). Using linear regression analysis, we will calculate the slope (bb) and intercept (aa) of the line Y=a+bXY = a + bX.

    Formula:

    • Slope b=n(XY)(X)(Y)n(X2)(X)2b = \frac{n(\sum XY) - (\sum X)(\sum Y)}{n(\sum X^2) - (\sum X)^2}
    • Intercept a=Yb(X)na = \frac{\sum Y - b(\sum X)}{n}
  2. Write the regression equation Y=a+bXY = a + bX
    After calculating aa and bb from the data, we substitute these values to get the equation.

  3. Predict sales when advertising cost is $7,000
    Substitute X=7,000X = 7,000 into the equation Y=a+bXY = a + bX to find the predicted sales.

I'll calculate this and provide the results.import numpy as np import pandas as pd

Given data

advertising_cost = np.array([2000, 2500, 3000, 3500, 4000, 4500, 5000, 5500, 6000, 6500]) sales = np.array([25000, 27500, 30000, 32000, 34500, 36000, 39000, 40500, 43000, 45000])

Number of data points

n = len(advertising_cost)

Calculating the necessary summations for slope (b) and intercept (a)

sum_x = np.sum(advertising_cost) sum_y = np.sum(sales) sum_xy = np.sum(advertising_cost * sales) sum_x2 = np.sum(advertising_cost ** 2)

Calculating slope (b) and intercept (a)

b = (n * sum_xy - sum_x * sum_y) / (n * sum_x2 - sum_x ** 2) a = (sum_y - b * sum_x) / n

The regression equation

regression_equation = f"Y = {a:.2f} + {b:.2f}X"

Prediction when advertising cost is $7,000

x_pred = 7000 y_pred = a + b * x_pred

regression_equation, y_pred('Y = 16524.24 + 4.41X', 47366.66666666667)('Y = 16524.24 + 4.41X', 47366.66666666667)success

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Prediction

Formulas

Slope formula: b = (n(ΣXY) - (ΣX)(ΣY)) / (n(ΣX^2) - (ΣX)^2)
Intercept formula: a = (ΣY - b(ΣX)) / n
Regression equation: Y = a + bX

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

College/University level