Math Problem Statement
An electronics retailer used regression to find a simple model to predict sales growth in the first quarter of the new year (January through March). The model is good for 90 days, where x is the day. The model can be written as follows:
ŷ = 103.38 + 2.45x
where ŷ is in thousands of dollars.
What would you predict the sales to be on day
(a) 60? (Enter an exact number as an integer, fraction, or decimal.) thousand dollars
(b) 90 ? (Enter an exact number as an integer, fraction, or decimal.) thousand dollars
Solution
To solve this problem, we will use the regression model provided:
Here, represents the predicted sales in thousands of dollars, and represents the day.
Part (a) - Predict the sales on day 60:
For :
So, the predicted sales on day 60 would be 250.38 thousand dollars.
Part (b) - Predict the sales on day 90:
For :
So, the predicted sales on day 90 would be 323.88 thousand dollars.
If you have any questions or want more details, feel free to ask. Here are five related questions:
- How would you calculate the predicted sales for any other day within the first 90 days?
- What is the significance of the coefficient 2.45 in this model?
- How would the prediction change if the coefficient was negative?
- Can this model be used for predicting sales after 90 days? Why or why not?
- How would you assess the accuracy of this regression model?
Tip: In regression analysis, the coefficient of represents the rate of change in the dependent variable () for each unit change in the independent variable ().
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Algebra
Prediction Models
Formulas
ŷ = 103.38 + 2.45x
Theorems
-
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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