Math Problem Statement

An electronics retailer used regression to find a simple model to predict sales growth in the first quarter of the new year (January through March). The model is good for 90 days, where x is the day. The model can be written as follows:

ŷ = 103.38 + 2.45x

 where ŷ is in thousands of dollars.

What would you predict the sales to be on day

(a) 60? (Enter an exact number as an integer, fraction, or decimal.)  thousand dollars

(b) 90 ? (Enter an exact number as an integer, fraction, or decimal.)  thousand dollars

Solution

To solve this problem, we will use the regression model provided:

y^=103.38+2.45x\hat{y} = 103.38 + 2.45x

Here, y^\hat{y} represents the predicted sales in thousands of dollars, and xx represents the day.

Part (a) - Predict the sales on day 60:

For x=60x = 60:

y^=103.38+2.45(60)\hat{y} = 103.38 + 2.45(60)

y^=103.38+147\hat{y} = 103.38 + 147

y^=250.38\hat{y} = 250.38

So, the predicted sales on day 60 would be 250.38 thousand dollars.

Part (b) - Predict the sales on day 90:

For x=90x = 90:

y^=103.38+2.45(90)\hat{y} = 103.38 + 2.45(90)

y^=103.38+220.5\hat{y} = 103.38 + 220.5

y^=323.88\hat{y} = 323.88

So, the predicted sales on day 90 would be 323.88 thousand dollars.

If you have any questions or want more details, feel free to ask. Here are five related questions:

  1. How would you calculate the predicted sales for any other day within the first 90 days?
  2. What is the significance of the coefficient 2.45 in this model?
  3. How would the prediction change if the coefficient was negative?
  4. Can this model be used for predicting sales after 90 days? Why or why not?
  5. How would you assess the accuracy of this regression model?

Tip: In regression analysis, the coefficient of xx represents the rate of change in the dependent variable (y^\hat{y}) for each unit change in the independent variable (xx).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Algebra
Prediction Models

Formulas

ŷ = 103.38 + 2.45x

Theorems

-

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12