Math Problem Statement
what is model y? and is the model a good fit? and if so why and if not why not?
Solution
The linear regression model for the data is:
where:
- Slope (): -613.582
- Intercept (): 8482.945
- (Coefficient of Determination): 0.976
Analysis of Model Fit
The high value of 0.976 suggests that the linear model explains about 97.6% of the variance in sales, indicating a strong fit to the data. However, the residual plot shows some variability, with certain points deviating from the zero line. Despite this, there is no obvious non-linear pattern in the residuals, suggesting that the linear model is still a reasonable approximation for the trend in sales over time.
Conclusion: The model is a good fit for this data, mainly supported by the high value, although some deviations in the residuals suggest that minor non-linear factors might exist.
Would you like further details on any part of this analysis?
Here are some related questions:
- How would the model change if additional weeks were added to the data?
- What does the slope indicate about the trend in sales?
- How could we interpret the intercept value in this context?
- How could non-linear regression be tested if linearity is questionable?
- What impact does a low value have on model reliability?
Tip: Always examine both and the residual plot to evaluate model fit. While gives a measure of variance explained, the residual plot helps detect patterns that may indicate a need for a different model.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Data Analysis
Residual Analysis
Formulas
y = mx + b
R^2 (Coefficient of Determination)
Theorems
Linear regression and correlation interpretation
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12