Math Problem Statement
fit regression equation on following data and predict the sales revenue when units sold are 133 sales in revenue in rs lakhs : 61 42 43 40 102 80 90 units sold : 75 66 65 65 85 71 75
Solution
To fit a regression equation to the data and predict the sales revenue when units sold are 133, we need to perform the following steps:
Data:
- Sales revenue (in Rs. lakhs): 61, 42, 43, 40, 102, 80, 90
- Units sold: 75, 66, 65, 65, 85, 71, 75
Step 1: Organize the data in a tabular form:
Units Sold | Sales Revenue (Rs. Lakhs) |
---|---|
75 | 61 |
66 | 42 |
65 | 43 |
65 | 40 |
85 | 102 |
71 | 80 |
75 | 90 |
Step 2: Calculate the regression equation
We will fit a linear regression model of the form:
Where:
- is the intercept
- is the slope of the line
The formula to calculate the slope () and intercept () is:
Where:
- are the units sold (independent variable),
- are the sales revenue (dependent variable),
- is the number of data points.
Step 3: Apply the formulas to the data.
I will now calculate the regression equation and predict the sales revenue when the units sold are 133. numpy as np
Data
units_sold = np.array([75, 66, 65, 65, 85, 71, 75]) sales_revenue = np.array([61, 42, 43, 40, 102, 80, 90])
Calculate required sums
n = len(units_sold) sum_x = np.sum(units_sold) sum_y = np.sum(sales_revenue) sum_xy = np.sum(units_sold * sales_revenue) sum_x2 = np.sum(units_sold**2)
Calculate the slope (beta1) and intercept (beta0)
beta1 = (n * sum_xy - sum_x * sum_y) / (n * sum_x2 - sum_x**2) beta0 = (sum_y - beta1 * sum_x) / n
Regression equation: Sales Revenue = beta0 + beta1 * Units Sold
Now predict the sales revenue when units sold is 133
units_sold_prediction = 133 sales_revenue_prediction = beta0 + beta1 * units_sold_prediction
(beta0, beta1, sales_revenue_prediction)The regression equation fitted to the given data is:
Using this equation, when 133 units are sold, the predicted sales revenue is approximately Rs. 255.50 lakhs.
Would you like further details on how the regression equation is derived or have any additional questions? Here are some related questions you may find interesting:
- How can I interpret the slope and intercept of a regression line?
- What are the assumptions made in linear regression?
- How do we assess the goodness of fit for this regression model?
- What are alternative methods to predict sales revenue based on units sold?
- How would the sales revenue change if units sold increased to 150?
Tip: Linear regression works best when the relationship between the variables is approximately linear. Always check the residuals (the difference between predicted and actual values) to ensure the model is appropriate.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Linear Regression
Prediction
Formulas
Slope formula: β1 = (n Σ(xy) - Σx Σy) / (n Σ(x^2) - (Σx)^2)
Intercept formula: β0 = (Σy - β1 Σx) / n
Regression equation: y = β0 + β1x
Theorems
Least Squares Method
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate or High School Advanced Statistics
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