Math Problem Statement

fit regression equation on following data and predict the sales revenue when units sold are 133 sales in revenue in rs lakhs : 61 42 43 40 102 80 90 units sold : 75 66 65 65 85 71 75

Solution

To fit a regression equation to the data and predict the sales revenue when units sold are 133, we need to perform the following steps:

Data:

  • Sales revenue (in Rs. lakhs): 61, 42, 43, 40, 102, 80, 90
  • Units sold: 75, 66, 65, 65, 85, 71, 75

Step 1: Organize the data in a tabular form:

Units SoldSales Revenue (Rs. Lakhs)
7561
6642
6543
6540
85102
7180
7590

Step 2: Calculate the regression equation

We will fit a linear regression model of the form:

Sales Revenue=β0+β1×Units Sold\text{Sales Revenue} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \times \text{Units Sold}

Where:

  • β0\beta_0 is the intercept
  • β1\beta_1 is the slope of the line

The formula to calculate the slope (β1\beta_1) and intercept (β0\beta_0) is:

β1=nxiyixiyinxi2(xi)2\beta_1 = \frac{n \sum x_i y_i - \sum x_i \sum y_i}{n \sum x_i^2 - (\sum x_i)^2} β0=yiβ1xin\beta_0 = \frac{\sum y_i - \beta_1 \sum x_i}{n}

Where:

  • xix_i are the units sold (independent variable),
  • yiy_i are the sales revenue (dependent variable),
  • nn is the number of data points.

Step 3: Apply the formulas to the data.

I will now calculate the regression equation and predict the sales revenue when the units sold are 133. numpy as np

Data

units_sold = np.array([75, 66, 65, 65, 85, 71, 75]) sales_revenue = np.array([61, 42, 43, 40, 102, 80, 90])

Calculate required sums

n = len(units_sold) sum_x = np.sum(units_sold) sum_y = np.sum(sales_revenue) sum_xy = np.sum(units_sold * sales_revenue) sum_x2 = np.sum(units_sold**2)

Calculate the slope (beta1) and intercept (beta0)

beta1 = (n * sum_xy - sum_x * sum_y) / (n * sum_x2 - sum_x**2) beta0 = (sum_y - beta1 * sum_x) / n

Regression equation: Sales Revenue = beta0 + beta1 * Units Sold

Now predict the sales revenue when units sold is 133

units_sold_prediction = 133 sales_revenue_prediction = beta0 + beta1 * units_sold_prediction

(beta0, beta1, sales_revenue_prediction)The regression equation fitted to the given data is:

Sales Revenue=156.98+3.10×Units Sold\text{Sales Revenue} = -156.98 + 3.10 \times \text{Units Sold}

Using this equation, when 133 units are sold, the predicted sales revenue is approximately Rs. 255.50 lakhs.

Would you like further details on how the regression equation is derived or have any additional questions? Here are some related questions you may find interesting:

  1. How can I interpret the slope and intercept of a regression line?
  2. What are the assumptions made in linear regression?
  3. How do we assess the goodness of fit for this regression model?
  4. What are alternative methods to predict sales revenue based on units sold?
  5. How would the sales revenue change if units sold increased to 150?

Tip: Linear regression works best when the relationship between the variables is approximately linear. Always check the residuals (the difference between predicted and actual values) to ensure the model is appropriate.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Linear Regression
Prediction

Formulas

Slope formula: β1 = (n Σ(xy) - Σx Σy) / (n Σ(x^2) - (Σx)^2)
Intercept formula: β0 = (Σy - β1 Σx) / n
Regression equation: y = β0 + β1x

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate or High School Advanced Statistics