Math Problem Statement

Suppose that the population​ P(t) of a country satisfies the differential equation StartFraction dP Over dt EndFraction equals kP left parenthesis 400 minus Upper P right parenthesis dP dt=kP(400−P) with k constant. Its population in 1960 was 200 million and was then growing at the rate of 11 million per year. Predict this​ country's population for the year 2010.

Solution

The given differential equation for population growth is:

dPdt=kP(400P)\frac{dP}{dt} = kP(400 - P)

Where:

  • P(t)P(t) is the population at time tt,
  • kk is a constant,
  • 400400 represents a carrying capacity (in millions).

Step 1: Setup the initial conditions

  • At t=0t = 0 (which represents the year 1960), P(0)=200P(0) = 200 million.
  • The rate of population growth in 1960 was dPdt=11\frac{dP}{dt} = 11 million per year.

Using these initial conditions, we can determine the value of kk.

Step 2: Find kk

From the differential equation, when t=0t = 0, P=200P = 200:

dPdt=k200(400200)\frac{dP}{dt} = k \cdot 200 \cdot (400 - 200)

11=k20020011 = k \cdot 200 \cdot 200

11=40000k11 = 40000k

k=1140000=0.000275k = \frac{11}{40000} = 0.000275

Step 3: Solve the differential equation

The equation is separable. We rearrange it to separate the variables PP and tt:

dPP(400P)=kdt\frac{dP}{P(400 - P)} = k dt

To solve this, we use partial fraction decomposition on the left-hand side:

1P(400P)=AP+B400P\frac{1}{P(400 - P)} = \frac{A}{P} + \frac{B}{400 - P}

Solving this decomposition, we get:

1P(400P)=1400(1P+1400P)\frac{1}{P(400 - P)} = \frac{1}{400} \left( \frac{1}{P} + \frac{1}{400 - P} \right)

Thus, the equation becomes:

1400(1P+1400P)dP=kdt\frac{1}{400} \left( \frac{1}{P} + \frac{1}{400 - P} \right) dP = k dt

Integrating both sides:

1400(lnPln400P)=kt+C\frac{1}{400} \left( \ln |P| - \ln |400 - P| \right) = kt + C

Simplifying:

ln(P400P)=400kt+C\ln \left( \frac{P}{400 - P} \right) = 400kt + C'

Where CC' is a constant of integration. Exponentiating both sides:

P400P=e400kt+C\frac{P}{400 - P} = e^{400kt + C'}

[ \frac{P}{400 - P}

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Differential Equations
Population Growth Model
Separation of Variables
Partial Fraction Decomposition
Exponential Growth

Formulas

dP/dt = kP(400 - P)
k = 11/40000
∫(1/P(400 - P)) dP = ∫k dt
ln(P / (400 - P)) = 400kt + C

Theorems

Logarithmic Integration
Exponential Growth Model
Partial Fraction Decomposition Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Mathematics or Advanced High School Calculus