Math Problem Statement

Solve

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to compare the population growth under two different conditions between the year 2010 and the year 2015.

  1. Determine the time span:

    • t=0t = 0 corresponds to the year 2010.
    • t=5t = 5 corresponds to the year 2015.
  2. Population growth rate without policy changes:

    • Given P1(t)=5e0.03tP_1'(t) = 5e^{0.03t} thousand people per year.
    • To find the population at any time tt, we need to integrate P1(t)P_1'(t): P1(t)=5e0.03tdt=50.03e0.03t+C=5003e0.03t+CP_1(t) = \int 5e^{0.03t} \, dt = \frac{5}{0.03} e^{0.03t} + C = \frac{500}{3} e^{0.03t} + C
    • At t=0t = 0, P1(0)P_1(0) (the population in 2010) can be taken as P0P_0. So, P1(0)=5003+C=P0P_1(0) = \frac{500}{3} + C = P_0
    • Therefore, C=P05003C = P_0 - \frac{500}{3}
    • So, P1(t)=5003e0.03t+P05003P_1(t) = \frac{500}{3} e^{0.03t} + P_0 - \frac{500}{3}
    • At t=5t = 5: P1(5)=5003e0.15+P05003P_1(5) = \frac{500}{3} e^{0.15} + P_0 - \frac{500}{3}
  3. Population growth rate with policy changes:

    • Given P2(t)=5+0.03t+0.003t2P_2'(t) = 5 + 0.03t + 0.003t^2 thousand people per year.
    • To find the population at any time tt, we need to integrate P2(t)P_2'(t): P2(t)=(5+0.03t+0.003t2)dt=5t+0.03t22+0.003t33+C=5t+0.015t2+0.001t3+CP_2(t) = \int (5 + 0.03t + 0.003t^2) \, dt = 5t + 0.03 \frac{t^2}{2} + 0.003 \frac{t^3}{3} + C = 5t + 0.015t^2 + 0.001t^3 + C
    • At t=0t = 0, P2(0)P_2(0) (the population in 2010) can also be taken as P0P_0. So, P2(0)=C=P0P_2(0) = C = P_0
    • Therefore, P2(t)=5t+0.015t2+0.001t3+P0P_2(t) = 5t + 0.015t^2 + 0.001t^3 + P_0
    • At t=5t = 5: P2(5)=55+0.01552+0.00153+P0=25+0.375+0.125+P0=25.5+P0P_2(5) = 5 \cdot 5 + 0.015 \cdot 5^2 + 0.001 \cdot 5^3 + P_0 = 25 + 0.375 + 0.125 + P_0 = 25.5 + P_0
  4. Difference in population growth between the two scenarios:

    • Calculate the population in 2015 without policy changes: P1(5)=5003e0.15+P05003P_1(5) = \frac{500}{3} e^{0.15} + P_0 - \frac{500}{3}
    • Calculate the population in 2015 with policy changes: P2(5)=25.5+P0P_2(5) = 25.5 + P_0
    • Subtract P2(5)P_2(5) from P1(5)P_1(5) to find the difference: ΔP=P1(5)P2(5)=(5003e0.15+P05003)(25.5+P0)\Delta P = P_1(5) - P_2(5) = \left(\frac{500}{3} e^{0.15} + P_0 - \frac{500}{3}\right) - (25.5 + P_0) ΔP=5003(e0.151)25.5\Delta P = \frac{500}{3} (e^{0.15} - 1) - 25.5

Let's compute the exact value:

e0.151.1618e^{0.15} \approx 1.1618 5003166.67\frac{500}{3} \approx 166.67 ΔP166.67(1.16181)25.5\Delta P \approx 166.67 \cdot (1.1618 - 1) - 25.5 ΔP166.670.161825.5\Delta P \approx 166.67 \cdot 0.1618 - 25.5 ΔP26.9825.5\Delta P \approx 26.98 - 25.5 ΔP1.48\Delta P \approx 1.48

Therefore, the population in 2015 with the new policies would be approximately 1.48 thousand people less than it would be without the new policies.

Do you want details or have any questions? Here are some questions you might ask:

  1. How do you integrate exponential functions?
  2. Can you explain the method for solving definite integrals?
  3. How do you handle population growth models in calculus?
  4. What are the applications of continuous compounding in real-world scenarios?
  5. Can you show examples of different population growth models?

Tip: When solving problems involving exponential functions, remember to simplify your calculations by handling constants and exponentials separately.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Calculus
Population Growth Models
Exponential Functions
Integration

Formulas

Population growth rate formula: P'(t) = a + bt + ct^2
Exponential integration formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate