Math Problem Statement

A country is divided into four regions (A, B, C, and D). It is found that each year 55% of the residents in A move to B, 15% move to C, and 25% move to D. Of the residents in B, 45% move to C, 20% move to D, and 15% move to A. Of the residents in D, 65% move to A, 15% move to C, and 15% move to B, while the residents of C will either stay where they are or move to A with equal probability. Determine the matrix M.

Solution

This problem involves setting up a transition matrix MM for the migration of populations between four regions AA, BB, CC, and DD. Let's break down the problem and construct the matrix.

We denote the populations in regions AA, BB, CC, and DD at time kk by the vector: xk=[xAxBxCxD]k\mathbf{x}_k = \begin{bmatrix} x_A \\ x_B \\ x_C \\ x_D \end{bmatrix}_k

The matrix MM will describe how the population transitions between these regions each year.

Step-by-Step Construction of MM

Each entry MijM_{ij} in matrix MM represents the probability of residents moving from region jj to region ii in one year.

Region A:

  • 15% of the residents in BB move to AA.
  • 65% of the residents in DD move to AA.
  • No one moves from CC to AA directly.
  • 15% of the residents in CC stay or move to AA.

Region

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Algebra
Transition Matrix
Markov Chains

Formulas

x(k+1) = M * x(k)

Theorems

Markov Property
Stochastic Matrix

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 (Pre-College/Undergraduate Level)