Math Problem Statement
The mean number of errors per page made by a member of the word processing pool for a large company is thought to be 2.72.7 with the number of errors distributed according to a Poisson distribution. If a page is examined, what is the probability that more than two errors will be observed? Question content area bottom Part 1 The probability that more than two errors will be observed is enter your response here. (Round to four decimal places as needed.)
Solution
To solve this problem, we will use the Poisson distribution formula, which is:
Where:
- is the average number of errors per page (which is 2.7 in this case),
- is the number of errors,
- is Euler's number (approximately 2.71828),
- is the factorial of .
We are asked to find the probability that more than 2 errors are observed, i.e., . This is equal to:
So first, we need to calculate , which is the sum of the probabilities for 0, 1, and 2 errors:
Now, let's calculate each of these:
Now, we can sum these probabilities and subtract them from 1 to find .
Let me calculate that for you.The probability that more than two errors will be observed on a page is approximately 0.5064 (rounded to four decimal places).
Would you like further details or have any questions about this? Here are 5 related questions to explore further:
- How would the probability change if the mean number of errors was different?
- What is the probability of observing exactly three errors on a page?
- How do we compute cumulative probabilities for other values of in a Poisson distribution?
- Can the Poisson distribution be used to model other types of events?
- How does the Poisson distribution compare to the binomial distribution?
Tip: When solving Poisson distribution problems, it helps to remember that it models rare events over a fixed interval or space, like errors per page or arrivals per hour.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Poisson Distribution
Formulas
P(X = k) = (λ^k * e^(-λ)) / k!
P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X ≤ 2)
Theorems
Poisson distribution theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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