Math Problem Statement

The table below gives the age and bone density for five randomly selected women. Using this data, consider the equation of the regression line, yˆ=b0+b1x , for predicting a woman's bone density based on her age. Keep in mind, the correlation coefficient may or may not be statistically significant for the data given. Remember, in practice, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line to make a prediction if the correlation coefficient is not statistically significant.

Age 42 51 55 64 65 Bone Density 355 329 328 324 312 Table

Step 3 of 6 : Substitute the values you found in steps 1 and 2 into the equation for the regression line to find the estimated linear model. According to this model, if the value of the independent variable is increased by one unit, then find the change in the dependent variable yˆ .

Solution

To find the estimated linear regression model, we follow these steps:

Step 1: Compute the Means

We calculate the mean of the age (xx) and the mean of the bone density (yy):

xˉ=42+51+55+64+655=2775=55.4\bar{x} = \frac{42 + 51 + 55 + 64 + 65}{5} = \frac{277}{5} = 55.4

yˉ=355+329+328+324+3125=16485=329.6\bar{y} = \frac{355 + 329 + 328 + 324 + 312}{5} = \frac{1648}{5} = 329.6

Step 2: Compute the Slope b1b_1

The formula for the slope is:

b1=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b_1 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}

We compute each (xixˉ)(x_i - \bar{x}) and (yiyˉ)(y_i - \bar{y}):

xix_iyiy_ixixˉx_i - \bar{x}yiyˉy_i - \bar{y}(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})(xixˉ)2(x_i - \bar{x})^2
42355-13.425.4-340.36179.56
51329-4.4-0.62.6419.36
55328-0.4-1.60.640.16
643248.6-5.6-48.1673.96
653129.6-17.6-168.9692.16

(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)=340.36+2.64+0.6448.16168.96=553.2\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y}) = -340.36 + 2.64 + 0.64 - 48.16 - 168.96 = -553.2

(xixˉ)2=179.56+19.36+0.16+73.96+92.16=365.2\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2 = 179.56 + 19.36 + 0.16 + 73.96 + 92.16 = 365.2

b1=553.2365.2=1.515b_1 = \frac{-553.2}{365.2} = -1.515

Step 3: Compute the Intercept b0b_0

The intercept formula is:

b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1 \bar{x}

b0=329.6(1.515×55.4)b_0 = 329.6 - (-1.515 \times 55.4)

b0=329.6+83.92=413.52b_0 = 329.6 + 83.92 = 413.52

Step 4: Regression Equation

y^=413.521.515x\hat{y} = 413.52 - 1.515x

Step 5: Change in y^\hat{y} when xx increases by 1

The coefficient b1=1.515b_1 = -1.515 represents the change in y^\hat{y} for every one-unit increase in xx.

Thus, when age increases by 1 year, bone density decreases by 1.515.


Would you like further details on this calculation?

Here are five related questions for further exploration:

  1. How do you determine if the correlation coefficient is statistically significant?
  2. What does a negative slope imply in real-world scenarios?
  3. How can we use this model to predict bone density at age 70?
  4. What assumptions are made when using linear regression for predictions?
  5. What are possible limitations of using this model for medical predictions?

Tip: Always check if the correlation coefficient is significant before using the regression equation for predictions!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Correlation Coefficient
Slope
Intercept

Formulas

ŷ = b0 + b1x
b1 = Σ[(xi - x̄)(yi - ȳ)] / Σ(xi - x̄)^2
b0 = ȳ - b1x̄

Theorems

Least Squares Regression
Correlation Significance

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12