Math Problem Statement

The table below gives the age and bone density for five randomly selected women. Using this data, consider the equation of the regression line, yˆ=b0+b1x , for predicting a woman's bone density based on her age. Keep in mind, the correlation coefficient may or may not be statistically significant for the data given. Remember, in practice, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line to make a prediction if the correlation coefficient is not statistically significant.

Age 47 49 51 58 63 Bone Density 360 353 336 333 332

Find the estimated y-intercept. Round your answer to three decimal places.

Solution

To find the estimated yy-intercept (b0b_0) of the regression line, we need to follow these steps:

The regression equation is of the form:

y^=b0+b1x\hat{y} = b_0 + b_1 x

Where:

  • y^\hat{y} is the predicted value of bone density.
  • xx is the age.
  • b1b_1 is the slope of the regression line.
  • b0b_0 is the y-intercept of the regression line.

To find the y-intercept, we first need to compute the slope b1b_1, and then we can use it to find b0b_0.

1. Compute the Slope b1b_1

The formula for b1b_1 is:

b1=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b_1 = \frac{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}}{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})^2}}

Where:

  • xix_i are the ages.
  • yiy_i are the bone densities.
  • xˉ\bar{x} is the mean of the ages.
  • yˉ\bar{y} is the mean of the bone densities.

2. Compute the y-intercept b0b_0

The formula for b0b_0 is:

b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1 \bar{x}

Let's calculate this step by step.

Given dataTo find the estimated yy-intercept (b0b_0) of the regression line, we need to follow these steps:

The regression equation is of the form:

y^=b0+b1x\hat{y} = b_0 + b_1 x

Where:

  • y^\hat{y} is the predicted value of bone density.
  • xx is the age.
  • b1b_1 is the slope of the regression line.
  • b0b_0 is the y-intercept of the regression line.

To find the y-intercept, we first need to compute the slope b1b_1, and then we can use it to find b0b_0.

1. Compute the Slope b1b_1

The formula for b1b_1 is:

b1=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b_1 = \frac{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}}{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})^2}}

Where:

  • xix_i are the ages.
  • yiy_i are the bone densities.
  • xˉ\bar{x} is the mean of the ages.
  • yˉ\bar{y} is the mean of the bone densities.

2. Compute the y-intercept b0b_0

The formula for b0b_0 is:

b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1 \bar{x}

Let's calculate this step by step.

Given

  • Ages: 47, 49, 51, 58, 63
  • Bone Densities: 360, 353, 336, 333, 332

We will calculate the mean of both the ages and the bone densities, then the slope, and finally the y-intercept.

I'll compute these values now.The estimated y-intercept (b0b_0) of the regression line is 428.763428.763, rounded to three decimal places.

Would you like a detailed explanation of the steps, or do you have any further questions?

Here are five related questions:

  1. How is the slope (b1b_1) of the regression line calculated in detail?
  2. What does the y-intercept represent in this context of bone density prediction?
  3. How can we check if the correlation coefficient is statistically significant?
  4. How is the total variation in the data explained by the regression model measured?
  5. Can the regression line predict bone density for ages outside the given range?

Tip: Always check if the assumptions of linear regression are met before using the regression line for predictions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Correlation

Formulas

Regression line equation: yˆ = b0 + b1x
Slope (b1): b1 = Σ((xi - x̄)(yi - ȳ)) / Σ(xi - x̄)^2
Y-intercept (b0): b0 = ȳ - b1x̄

Theorems

Least Squares Method
Correlation Coefficient Significance

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12