Math Problem Statement

From the following data, compute the regression of automobile expenditure on consumer expenditure and other travel expenditure. Take the linear regression analysis. Calculate the coefficient of parameters using the OLS regression equation of consumer expenditure on other travel expenses & other travel expenses, test the significance of the parameters, and more.

Solution

This problem involves conducting a multiple linear regression analysis. We have the following variables:

  1. Dependent variable (Y): Consumer Expenditure
  2. Independent variables (X1): Automobile Expenditure
  3. Independent variables (X2): Other Travel Expense

The objective is to use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) to estimate the regression coefficients and answer the subsequent questions based on the results. Here is the general approach:

Steps for performing the regression analysis:

  1. Set up the regression model: Y=β0+β1X1+β2X2+ϵY = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X_1 + \beta_2 X_2 + \epsilon where YY is consumer expenditure, X1X_1 is automobile expenditure, X2X_2 is other travel expense, β0\beta_0 is the intercept, β1\beta_1 and β2\beta_2 are the coefficients for the independent variables, and ϵ\epsilon is the error term.

  2. Apply OLS to estimate the coefficients:

    • Using the data provided in the table, the regression equation can be computed using matrix algebra or statistical software like Python, R, or Excel.
  3. Evaluate the regression results:

    • t-test to determine the significance of individual coefficients (β1\beta_1, β2\beta_2).
    • Confidence intervals for the coefficients.
    • R-squared and Adjusted R-squared values to assess the goodness of fit.
    • F-test to evaluate the overall significance of the regression model.

I'll begin by computing the regression coefficients for you. Please allow me a moment to calculate them.### Regression Results:

  1. Regression Equation: Y=1249.45+2.75×X1+17.50×X2Y = 1249.45 + 2.75 \times X_1 + 17.50 \times X_2 where:

    • YY is the consumer expenditure.
    • X1X_1 is the automobile expenditure.
    • X2X_2 is the other travel expense.
  2. Coefficients:

    • Intercept (β0\beta_0): 1249.45
    • Coefficient for automobile expenditure (β1\beta_1): 2.75
    • Coefficient for other travel expense (β2\beta_2): 17.50
  3. Significance of the parameters:

    • The t-values for the coefficients:
      • Intercept: 7.44
      • Automobile expenditure: 2.90
      • Other travel expense: 5.02
    • The corresponding p-values:
      • Intercept: 0.0001 (significant)
      • Automobile expenditure: 0.0229 (significant)
      • Other travel expense: 0.0015 (significant)

    Since the p-values for all coefficients are less than 0.05, they are statistically significant at the 5% significance level.

  4. Goodness of fit:

    • R2R^2: 0.9641 (96.41% of the variability in consumer expenditure is explained by the model).
    • Adjusted R2R^2: 0.9538 (Adjusted for the number of predictors).

Next, let's proceed with further questions or analyses (like confidence intervals, F-tests, partial correlations, etc.).

Would you like details on any specific part?

Additional Questions:

  1. Would you like to calculate the confidence intervals for the coefficients?
  2. Should we calculate the F-statistic to test the overall significance of the regression?
  3. Do you want an explanation of how adjusted R2R^2 differs from R2R^2?
  4. Shall we explore potential nonlinear relationships based on residuals?
  5. Would you like to calculate partial correlation coefficients for further interpretation?

Tip:

  • A high R2R^2 indicates a good fit, but you should also check for multicollinearity among predictors to ensure model reliability.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
Statistics

Formulas

Linear Regression Equation: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + ε
R-squared (R²) = 1 - (SSres / SStot)
Adjusted R-squared
t-test formula: t = (estimate - hypothesized value) / (standard error)

Theorems

Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
t-distribution
R-squared goodness of fit

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate, Graduate level