Math Problem Statement

Assume that the proportion of voters who prefer Candidate A is π=.645. Organization D conducts a poll of n=5 voters. Let X represent the number of voters polled who prefer Candidate A. Complete the table below, which is a cumulative probability distribution.

(Report answers accurate to 4 decimal places.)

k P(X < k) 0 1 2 3 4 5

Solution

This problem involves finding the cumulative probabilities for a binomial distribution. We are given the following information:

  • The probability that a voter prefers Candidate A is π=0.645\pi = 0.645.
  • The number of voters polled is n=5n = 5.

We need to calculate the cumulative probability distribution P(X<k)P(X < k), where XX is the number of voters who prefer Candidate A. XX follows a binomial distribution:

XBinomial(n=5,π=0.645)X \sim \text{Binomial}(n = 5, \pi = 0.645)

The probability mass function (PMF) for a binomial distribution is:

P(X=k)=(nk)πk(1π)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \pi^k (1 - \pi)^{n - k}

The cumulative probability P(X<k)P(X < k) is the sum of probabilities from X=0X = 0 to X=k1X = k-1, i.e.,

P(X<k)=i=0k1P(X=i)P(X < k) = \sum_{i=0}^{k-1} P(X = i)

Step-by-step Calculation

We will compute P(X<k)P(X < k) for k=0k = 0 through k=5k = 5 using the binomial distribution formula.

1. Calculate P(X=k)P(X = k) for each kk:

  • P(X=0)P(X = 0)
  • P(X=1)P(X = 1)
  • P(X=2)P(X = 2)
  • P(X=3)P(X = 3)
  • P(X=4)P(X = 4)
  • P(X=5)P(X = 5)

2. Compute cumulative probabilities

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Binomial Distribution
Cumulative Probability

Formulas

P(X = k) = binom(n, k) * π^k * (1 - π)^(n - k)
P(X < k) = Σ P(X = i) for i = 0 to k-1

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12