Math Problem Statement

For a binomial distribution X~Bin(n,p), suppose n=5. If P(X=0)=0.00032, what is p? In your response, provide a detailed explanation of your steps and reasoning at each step.

Solution

To solve this problem, we are asked to find the probability pp for a binomial distribution XBin(n,p)X \sim \text{Bin}(n, p), where n=5n = 5 and P(X=0)=0.00032P(X = 0) = 0.00032. Let's walk through the steps:

Step 1: Understanding the Binomial Distribution

The probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is given by the formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

Where:

  • P(X=k)P(X = k) is the probability of observing exactly kk successes.
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient, calculated as n!k!(nk)!\frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}.
  • nn is the number of trials.
  • pp is the probability of success in each trial.
  • (1p)(1 - p) is the probability of failure.

Since we're given P(X=0)P(X = 0), we need to compute this for k=0k = 0:

P(X=0)=(50)p0(1p)5=(1p)5P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} p^0 (1 - p)^5 = (1 - p)^5

This simplifies to:

P(X=0)=(1p)5P(X = 0) = (1 - p)^5

Step 2: Using the Given Probability

We know that P(X=0)=0.00032P(X = 0) = 0.00032, so we substitute this into the equation:

(1p)5=0.00032(1 - p)^5 = 0.00032

Step 3: Solving for pp

To solve for pp, we first take the 5th root of both sides to eliminate the exponent:

1p=0.0003251 - p = \sqrt[5]{0.00032}

Next, calculate the 5th root of 0.00032:

1p=0.21 - p = 0.2

Now, solve for pp:

p=10.2=0.8p = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8

Final Answer:

The probability pp is 0.80.8.

Conclusion:

The probability of success in each trial pp for the binomial distribution is 0.8, given that P(X=0)=0.00032P(X = 0) = 0.00032 when n=5n = 5.


Do you want more details on any specific step or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How does the binomial distribution change when pp increases or decreases?
  2. What would P(X=1)P(X = 1) be for p=0.8p = 0.8 and n=5n = 5?
  3. How do you calculate the mean and variance of a binomial distribution?
  4. What is the relationship between the binomial and normal distributions?
  5. How would the problem change if P(X=5)P(X = 5) were given instead of P(X=0)P(X = 0)?

Tip: In binomial distributions, when pp is close to 1, most of the probability mass is concentrated at higher values of XX, meaning you're more likely to observe a larger number of successes.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Probability
Exponents

Formulas

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
P(X = 0) = (1 - p)^n

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12