Math Problem Statement

For a binomial distribution X~Bin(n,p), suppose n=5. If P(X=0)=0.00032, what is p? In your response, provide a detailed explanation of your steps and reasoning at each step.

Solution

Given that XBin(n,p)X \sim \text{Bin}(n, p), where XX is a binomially distributed random variable with parameters n=5n = 5 and pp (the probability of success in a single trial), and that P(X=0)=0.00032P(X = 0) = 0.00032, we need to find pp.

Step-by-Step Solution:

  1. Binomial Distribution Formula: The probability mass function (PMF) of a binomial distribution is given by:

    P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

    Here, n=5n = 5, and we are given P(X=0)=0.00032P(X = 0) = 0.00032, so we substitute k=0k = 0 into the formula:

    P(X=0)=(50)p0(1p)5P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} p^0 (1 - p)^5

  2. Simplifying the Formula: Recall that (50)=1\binom{5}{0} = 1 and p0=1p^0 = 1, so the equation simplifies to:

    P(X=0)=(1p)5P(X = 0) = (1 - p)^5

    We are given that P(X=0)=0.00032P(X = 0) = 0.00032, so:

    (1p)5=0.00032(1 - p)^5 = 0.00032

  3. Solving for pp: To solve for pp, we first take the fifth root of both sides:

    1p=0.0003251 - p = \sqrt[5]{0.00032}

    Now, calculate 0.000325\sqrt[5]{0.00032}.

    1p=0.21 - p = 0.2

  4. Final Calculation: Solving for pp:

    p=10.2=0.8p = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8

Thus, the probability pp is 0.8.

Explanation:

  • We used the binomial distribution formula, focusing on the case where X=0X = 0.
  • After simplifying the binomial coefficient and powers, we reduced the problem to solving the equation (1p)5=0.00032(1 - p)^5 = 0.00032.
  • Taking the fifth root allowed us to isolate pp, leading to the final solution p=0.8p = 0.8.

Would you like more details or have any questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How would the answer change if P(X=1)P(X = 1) were provided instead of P(X=0)P(X = 0)?
  2. What is the expected value E(X)E(X) for this binomial distribution?
  3. What is the variance of the binomial distribution XBin(5,0.8)X \sim \text{Bin}(5, 0.8)?
  4. How do you compute the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for a binomial distribution?
  5. What happens to the distribution as nn increases but pp remains constant?

Tip:

When solving binomial distribution problems, always ensure that you simplify factorial and binomial coefficient terms early to avoid unnecessary complexity.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Probability Theory
Algebra

Formulas

P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}
P(X = 0) = (1 - p)^n

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12