Math Problem Statement

С помощью статистики X1 по выборке объема 1 из равномерного распределения R(1; θ + 1) построить точный доверительный интервал уровня 0.9 для параметра θ. Ответ привести при X1 = 1.

Solution

The task asks to construct a 90% confidence interval for the parameter θ\theta using the statistic X1X_1, where the sample size is 1 and the distribution is a uniform distribution R(1;θ+1)R(1; \theta + 1). You are also given the condition that X1=1X_1 = 1.

Let's break down the steps:

Step 1: Understanding the distribution

The distribution is uniform R(1;θ+1)R(1; \theta + 1), which means that the random variable X1X_1 is uniformly distributed between 1 and θ+1\theta + 1. The probability density function (PDF) of X1X_1 is: f(x;θ)=1θ,for1xθ+1.f(x; \theta) = \frac{1}{\theta}, \quad \text{for} \quad 1 \leq x \leq \theta + 1.

Step 2: Confidence interval construction

For a uniform distribution, a pivotal quantity for constructing confidence intervals is: P(1X1θ+1)=1.P(1 \leq X_1 \leq \theta + 1) = 1. Given that X1=1X_1 = 1, we can use the following inequality to construct the confidence interval: P(X1θ+1)=0.9.P(X_1 \leq \theta + 1) = 0.9. That is, we are looking for the value of θ\theta such that the probability of observing X1θ+1X_1 \leq \theta + 1 is 0.9.

Since X1=1X_1 = 1, solving for θ\theta gives: θ=1.\theta = 1.

Therefore, the exact 90% confidence interval for θ\theta when X1=1X_1 = 1 is [1,θ+1][1, \theta + 1].

Do you want further details on the calculation or any additional clarification?

Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the general approach to constructing confidence intervals for uniform distributions?
  2. How does the size of the sample impact the width of a confidence interval?
  3. Why is a pivotal quantity used in confidence interval calculations?
  4. Can you explain the relation between probability and confidence levels in statistics?
  5. What would change in the confidence interval calculation if the sample size increased?

Tip: For uniform distributions, finding the confidence interval often involves finding boundaries based on the order statistics of the sample.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Uniform Distribution

Formulas

f(x; θ) = 1/θ, for 1 ≤ x ≤ θ + 1
P(1 ≤ X1 ≤ θ + 1) = 1
θ = X1 - 1

Theorems

Pivotal Quantity for Confidence Intervals

Suitable Grade Level

University Level (Statistics, Probability Theory)