Math Problem Statement

Suppose A and B are events in the same sample space for some experiment. Suppose A occurs 37% of the times, B happens 5 out of 10 times the experiment is run, and there is a probability 0.41 that B occurs and A does not occur. Determine π‘ƒπ‘Ÿ(𝐴𝑐βˆͺ𝐡) as a decimal number with 2 decimal places.

Solution

To determine Pr⁑(AcβˆͺB)\Pr(A^c \cup B), where AcA^c represents the complement of AA, we can use the formula for the probability of the union of two events:

Pr⁑(AcβˆͺB)=Pr⁑(Ac)+Pr⁑(B)βˆ’Pr⁑(Ac∩B)\Pr(A^c \cup B) = \Pr(A^c) + \Pr(B) - \Pr(A^c \cap B)

Step-by-Step Solution

  1. Given Probabilities and Information:

    • Pr⁑(A)=0.37\Pr(A) = 0.37 (since AA occurs 37% of the time).
    • Pr⁑(B)=0.5\Pr(B) = 0.5 (since BB happens 5 out of 10 times).
    • Pr⁑(B and Ac)=0.41\Pr(B \text{ and } A^c) = 0.41.
  2. Calculate Pr⁑(Ac)\Pr(A^c): Since AcA^c is the complement of AA, Pr⁑(Ac)=1βˆ’Pr⁑(A)=1βˆ’0.37=0.63\Pr(A^c) = 1 - \Pr(A) = 1 - 0.37 = 0.63

  3. Calculate Pr⁑(Ac∩B)\Pr(A^c \cap B): We already know from the problem statement that Pr⁑(B and Ac)=0.41\Pr(B \text{ and } A^c) = 0.41, so Pr⁑(Ac∩B)=0.41\Pr(A^c \cap B) = 0.41

  4. Calculate Pr⁑(AcβˆͺB)\Pr(A^c \cup B): Substitute the values into the formula: Pr⁑(AcβˆͺB)=Pr⁑(Ac)+Pr⁑(B)βˆ’Pr⁑(Ac∩B)\Pr(A^c \cup B) = \Pr(A^c) + \Pr(B) - \Pr(A^c \cap B) =0.63+0.5βˆ’0.41= 0.63 + 0.5 - 0.41 =1.13βˆ’0.41=0.72= 1.13 - 0.41 = 0.72

Final Answer

Pr⁑(AcβˆͺB)=0.72\Pr(A^c \cup B) = 0.72

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Here are 5 related questions to expand on this information:

  1. How would we find Pr⁑(A∩B)\Pr(A \cap B) using the given information?
  2. What is the interpretation of Pr⁑(Ac∩B)\Pr(A^c \cap B) in terms of real-world scenarios?
  3. How does the complement of an event help in calculating union probabilities?
  4. How would the answer change if Pr⁑(A∩B)\Pr(A \cap B) were given instead of Pr⁑(Ac∩B)\Pr(A^c \cap B)?
  5. Can we verify if AA and BB are independent events with this information?

Tip: When calculating probabilities of complements, remember that Pr⁑(Ac)=1βˆ’Pr⁑(A)\Pr(A^c) = 1 - \Pr(A). This is often useful in problems involving unions and intersections.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Set Theory
Complement of an Event
Union of Events

Formulas

Pr(A^c βˆͺ B) = Pr(A^c) + Pr(B) - Pr(A^c ∩ B)
Complement of an event: Pr(A^c) = 1 - Pr(A)

Theorems

Complement Rule
Union of Events Rule

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12