Math Problem Statement

Find the length of time it takes for the number infected to reach 1,000,000. round to the nearest day

Solution

To find the length of time it takes for the number of infected people to reach 1,000,000, we use the same exponential growth model A(t)=IertA(t) = I e^{rt} and solve for tt.

Given:

  • Initial number of infected people, I=28I = 28
  • Growth rate, r=0.045r = 0.045
  • Final number of infected people, A(t)=1,000,000A(t) = 1,000,000

We need to solve for tt: 1,000,000=28e0.045t1,000,000 = 28 e^{0.045t}

First, divide both sides by 28 to isolate the exponential term: 1,000,00028=e0.045t\frac{1,000,000}{28} = e^{0.045t} 35,714.2857e0.045t35,714.2857 \approx e^{0.045t}

Next, take the natural logarithm (ln) of both sides to solve for tt: ln(35,714.2857)=ln(e0.045t)\ln(35,714.2857) = \ln(e^{0.045t}) ln(35,714.2857)=0.045t\ln(35,714.2857) = 0.045t

Calculate the natural logarithm of 35,714.2857: ln(35,714.2857)10.48\ln(35,714.2857) \approx 10.48

Now, solve for tt: 10.48=0.045t10.48 = 0.045t t=10.480.045t = \frac{10.48}{0.045} t232.89t \approx 232.89

Rounding to the nearest whole number: t233t \approx 233

So, it takes approximately 233 days for the number of infected people to reach 1,000,000.

Would you like any further details or have any questions?

Here are 5 more questions you might want to ask:

  1. How does the doubling time of an infection relate to the growth rate?
  2. How would the model change if we had a carrying capacity for the population?
  3. What would happen if the growth rate decreased over time?
  4. Can you show how to solve the same problem using a different method?
  5. How can this model be used to predict the future course of an epidemic?

Tip: When working with exponential growth models, always check if the assumptions (constant growth rate and initial population) are valid over the time period you're examining.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Growth
Logarithms

Formulas

Exponential growth model A(t) = I e^{rt}
Natural logarithm ln(x)

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School and Above