Math Problem Statement

Solve

Solution

To solve the given exponential model for the number of people who test positive for Covid-19 in a community, let's break down the problem into parts:

Exponential Model:

P(t)=120e0.2tP(t) = 120e^{0.2t}

  1. Initial number of people who test positive: This is given directly by the coefficient of the exponential function. P(0)=120P(0) = 120 So, the initial number of people who test positive is 120120.

  2. Rate of growth (as a percent): The rate of growth is given by the exponent's coefficient, 0.2. To convert this into a percentage: 0.2×100=20%0.2 \times 100 = 20\% So, the rate of growth is 20%20\%.

  3. Doubling time: The doubling time TT can be calculated using the formula for exponential growth: T=ln(2)rT = \frac{\ln(2)}{r} Here, r=0.2r = 0.2. T=ln(2)0.20.6930.23.5T = \frac{\ln(2)}{0.2} \approx \frac{0.693}{0.2} \approx 3.5 So, the doubling time is approximately 3.53.5 days.

  4. Number of days it takes for the number of positive tests to reach 1000: We need to solve for tt when P(t)=1000P(t) = 1000: 1000=120e0.2t1000 = 120e^{0.2t} Dividing both sides by 120: 1000120=e0.2t\frac{1000}{120} = e^{0.2t} 253=e0.2t\frac{25}{3} = e^{0.2t} Taking the natural logarithm on both sides: ln(253)=0.2t\ln\left(\frac{25}{3}\right) = 0.2t t=ln(253)0.22.1200.210.6t = \frac{\ln\left(\frac{25}{3}\right)}{0.2} \approx \frac{2.120}{0.2} \approx 10.6 So, the number of days it takes for the number of positive tests to reach 1000 is approximately 1111 days (rounded to the nearest day).

Summary:

  1. The initial number of people who test positive is 120120.
  2. The rate of growth (as a percent) is 20%20\%.
  3. The doubling time is 3.53.5 days.
  4. The number of days it takes for the number of positive tests to reach 1000 is 1111 days.

Would you like more details on any of these steps, or do you have any questions?

Here are 5 questions you might ask next:

  1. How does the initial number of positive cases affect the exponential growth model?
  2. Can you explain the derivation of the doubling time formula?
  3. How would the model change if the growth rate were different?
  4. What assumptions are made in this exponential growth model?
  5. How can this model be adjusted for real-world factors like increased testing or interventions?

Tip: Always double-check the units and conversion factors when working with exponential growth problems to ensure accuracy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Functions
Logarithms

Formulas

Exponential growth formula
Doubling time formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School