Math Problem Statement

2.3 You are required to provide a 91.98% confidence interval for a mean, it is important that the interval be no longer than 2 cm. Assume that the population is normally distributed with the variance of 25 cm². What is the smallest sample size needed?

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Solution

To solve this problem, we need to calculate the smallest sample size nn required to achieve a confidence interval for the mean with a specified confidence level (91.98%) and a maximum allowable length of 2 cm. Given that the population is normally distributed with a variance of σ2=25cm2\sigma^2 = 25 \, \text{cm}^2, we will follow these steps:

Step-by-Step Solution

  1. Confidence Level and Z-score: A 91.98% confidence level corresponds to a Z-score. Since the confidence level is not a standard value, we need to find the Z-score that leaves 4.01% in each tail (i.e., 100% - 91.98% = 8.02%, so 4.01% in each tail).

    We will denote this Z-score as Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2}, where α=10.9198=0.0802\alpha = 1 - 0.9198 = 0.0802.

  2. Formula for the Confidence Interval: The formula for the confidence interval for a mean μ\mu is:

    CI=xˉ±Zα/2(σn)\text{CI} = \bar{x} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \left( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \right)

    The length of the confidence interval is given by:

    Length of CI=2×Zα/2(σn)\text{Length of CI} = 2 \times Z_{\alpha/2} \left( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \right)

    We are given that this length should be no more than 2 cm, so:

    2×Zα/2(σn)22 \times Z_{\alpha/2} \left( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \right) \leq 2

  3. Rearrange to Find nn: Substituting the value for σ\sigma:

    Zα/2(25n)1Z_{\alpha/2} \left( \frac{\sqrt{25}}{\sqrt{n}} \right) \leq 1

    Since 25=5\sqrt{25} = 5:

    Zα/2(5n)1Z_{\alpha/2} \left( \frac{5}{\sqrt{n}} \right) \leq 1

    Solving for nn:

    5Zα/2n1    5Zα/2n\frac{5 Z_{\alpha/2}}{\sqrt{n}} \leq 1 \implies 5 Z_{\alpha/2} \leq \sqrt{n}

    n(5Zα/2)2n \geq (5 Z_{\alpha/2})^2

  4. Find the Z-score: We need the Z-score corresponding to the 91.98% confidence level, which leaves 4.01% in each tail.

Let's calculate the Z-score and the smallest sample size nn.The Z-score corresponding to a 91.98% confidence level is approximately 1.751.75.

The smallest sample size needed to ensure that the 91.98% confidence interval for the mean is no longer than 2 cm is 77\boxed{77}.

Would you like more details on this calculation, or do you have any questions?

Here are some related questions you might find useful:

  1. How would the required sample size change with a different confidence level?
  2. What if the variance were different, say 16 cm² or 36 cm²?
  3. How can you interpret confidence intervals in the context of hypothesis testing?
  4. Why do we use the Z-score for normally distributed populations?
  5. How would this calculation differ if the population were not normally distributed?

Tip: Confidence intervals provide a range of values within which the true population parameter is expected to lie, given a specified level of confidence.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Confidence Interval for Mean: CI = x̄ ± Z_(α/2) * (σ / √n)

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced College Level