Math Problem Statement
A certain brokerage house wants to estimate the mean daily return on a certain stock. A random sample of 15 days yields the following return percentages.
-2.57, -0.74, 2.38, -0.76, -2.79, 2.05, -1.11, 1.83, -1.6, 2.31, 0.44, 2.56, 1.81, 0.91, -1.5
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If we assume that the returns are normally distributed, find a 90% confidence interval for the mean daily return on this stock. Give the lower limit and upper limit of the 90% confidence interval.
Carry your intermediate computations to at least three decimal places, Round your answers to one decimal place. (If necessary, consult a list of formulas.)
Lower limit:
Upper limit:
Solution
To find the 90% confidence interval for the mean daily return on the stock, we can proceed with the following steps:
Step 1: Calculate the Sample Mean ()
First, let's calculate the mean of the sample data.
Given dataTo find the 90% confidence interval for the mean daily return on the stock, we can proceed with the following steps:
Step 1: Calculate the Sample Mean ()
First, let's calculate the mean of the sample data.
Given
Where:
- is the sum of all the data points.
- is the number of data points.
Step 2: Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation (s)
The formula for the sample standard deviation is:
Step 3: Find the Critical Value (t)
Since the sample size is small () and the population standard deviation is unknown, we will use the t-distribution. For a 90% confidence interval with degrees of freedom, the critical value can be found using a t-table or calculator.
Step 4: Calculate the Margin of Error (ME)
The margin of error is calculated using:
Step 5: Calculate the Confidence Interval
Finally, calculate the confidence interval using:
Let me compute these steps for you.The 90% confidence interval for the mean daily return on the stock is:
- Lower limit:
- Upper limit:
Would you like more details or have any other questions? Here are some related questions you might find useful:
- How does the confidence level affect the confidence interval?
- Why is the t-distribution used instead of the Z-distribution for small samples?
- How can you interpret this confidence interval in the context of stock returns?
- What assumptions must hold for this confidence interval to be valid?
- How would the confidence interval change with a larger sample size?
Tip: When interpreting confidence intervals, remember that a 90% confidence interval means we expect 90 out of 100 such intervals to contain the true population mean.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Confidence Intervals
T-distribution
Formulas
Sample Mean
Sample Standard Deviation
Margin of Error
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
College Level
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