Math Problem Statement

You intend to estimate a population mean with the following sample. 84 86.2 83.1 73.6 82.5 89.8 74.5

You believe the population is normally distributed. Find the 99.9% confidence interval. Enter your answer as an open-interval (i.e., parentheses) accurate to two decimal places (because the sample data are reported accurate to one decimal place).

99.9% C.I. =

Solution

To compute the 99.9%99.9\% confidence interval for the population mean, we follow these steps:

Step 1: Compute the sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) and sample standard deviation (ss)

Given the sample: 84,86.2,83.1,73.6,82.5,89.8,74.584, 86.2, 83.1, 73.6, 82.5, 89.8, 74.5

  1. Compute xˉ\bar{x}: xˉ=Sum of all data pointsNumber of data points\bar{x} = \frac{\text{Sum of all data points}}{\text{Number of data points}} xˉ=84+86.2+83.1+73.6+82.5+89.8+74.57\bar{x} = \frac{84 + 86.2 + 83.1 + 73.6 + 82.5 + 89.8 + 74.5}{7}

  2. Compute ss: The formula for the sample standard deviation is: s=(xixˉ)2n1s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}}

Step 2: Determine the critical value (tt^*)

Since the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is n=7n=7, we use the tt-distribution. For 99.9%99.9\% confidence level and n1=6n-1 = 6 degrees of freedom, we find tt^*.

Step 3: Compute the margin of error (ME)

ME=tsnME = t^* \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}

Step 4: Calculate the confidence interval

The confidence interval is: CI=(xˉME,xˉ+ME)\text{CI} = \left(\bar{x} - ME, \bar{x} + ME\right)

Let me perform the calculations. numpy as np from scipy.stats import t

Given data

data = np.array([84, 86.2, 83.1, 73.6, 82.5, 89.8, 74.5]) n = len(data)

Step 1: Calculate the sample mean and standard deviation

mean = np.mean(data) std_dev = np.std(data, ddof=1) # Sample standard deviation

Step 2: Find the critical value (t*) for 99.9% confidence and df = n-1

alpha = 1 - 0.999 df = n - 1 t_critical = t.ppf(1 - alpha / 2, df)

Step 3: Calculate the margin of error

margin_of_error = t_critical * (std_dev / np.sqrt(n))

Step 4: Calculate the confidence interval

lower_bound = mean - margin_of_error upper_bound = mean + margin_of_error

(mean, std_dev, t_critical, margin_of_error, lower_bound, upper_bound)### Results:

  1. Sample Mean (xˉ\bar{x}): 81.9681.96
  2. Sample Standard Deviation (ss): 5.935.93
  3. Critical Value (tt^*): 5.965.96
  4. Margin of Error (ME): 13.3513.35

The 99.9%99.9\% confidence interval is: CI=(68.61,95.30)\text{CI} = (68.61, 95.30)

Final Answer:

99.9% CI =(68.61,95.30)99.9\% \text{ CI } = (68.61, 95.30)

Would you like a detailed step-by-step breakdown?


Related Questions:

  1. What is the difference between using the tt-distribution and zz-distribution for confidence intervals?
  2. How would the confidence interval change if the sample size increased to 20?
  3. What does a wider confidence interval indicate about the data?
  4. Why is the 99.9%99.9\% confidence interval larger than the 95%95\% confidence interval?
  5. How would outliers in the data affect the confidence interval calculation?

Tip:

Always check if the population distribution is approximately normal when the sample size is small (n<30n < 30), as the tt-distribution assumes normality.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
T-Distribution

Formulas

Sample Mean: \( \bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n} \)
Sample Standard Deviation: \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \)
Margin of Error: \( ME = t^* \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \)
Confidence Interval: \( CI = (\bar{x} - ME, \bar{x} + ME) \)

Theorems

T-distribution for small sample sizes
Confidence Interval Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College/University (Statistics)