Math Problem Statement

Forty percent of consumers prefer to purchase electronics online. You randomly select 8 consumers. Find the probability that the number of consumers who prefer to purchase electronics online is​ (a) exactly​ five, (b) more than​ five, and​ (c) at most five. Question content area bottom Part 1 ​(a) Find the probability that the number that prefer to purchase electronics online is exactly five. ​P(5)equals

enter your response here ​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Solution

This is a binomial probability problem. In this case, the probability of success (a consumer preferring to purchase electronics online) is p=0.40p = 0.40, and the number of trials (consumers selected) is n=8n = 8. We want to find the probability of exactly 5 successes, i.e., P(X=5)P(X = 5), where XX is the binomial random variable representing the number of consumers who prefer to purchase electronics online.

The binomial probability formula is:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • n=8n = 8 (the number of consumers),
  • k=5k = 5 (the number of successes we are looking for),
  • p=0.40p = 0.40 (the probability of success),
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient.

First, calculate (85)\binom{8}{5}, which is the number of ways to choose 5 successes from 8 trials:

(85)=8!5!(85)!=8!5!3!=403201206=56\binom{8}{5} = \frac{8!}{5!(8-5)!} = \frac{8!}{5!3!} = \frac{40320}{120 \cdot 6} = 56

Now, apply the formula:

P(X=5)=56×(0.40)5×(0.60)3P(X = 5) = 56 \times (0.40)^5 \times (0.60)^3

Let’s calculate each part:

(0.40)5=0.01024,(0.60)3=0.216(0.40)^5 = 0.01024, \quad (0.60)^3 = 0.216

Now, multiply all the parts together:

P(X=5)=56×0.01024×0.216=0.124P(X = 5) = 56 \times 0.01024 \times 0.216 = 0.124

So, the probability that exactly 5 consumers prefer to purchase electronics online is approximately:

P(5)0.124P(5) \approx 0.124

Do you want details on parts (b) and (c)? Feel free to ask! Also, here are five related questions:

  1. How is the binomial coefficient (nk)\binom{n}{k} calculated in general?
  2. What is the formula for the expected value in a binomial distribution?
  3. How would the probabilities change if p=0.60p = 0.60 instead of 0.40?
  4. What if the number of trials were increased to 10? How would the probability change?
  5. How is the binomial distribution related to the normal distribution?

Tip: The binomial distribution can be approximated by the normal distribution when nn is large and pp is not too close to 0 or 1.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12