Math Problem Statement
Solution
Let's solve this step by step.
Exercise 1:
Part 1: Justification for Binomial Distribution
The random variable , which counts the number of successful hits during the training session, follows a binomial distribution because:
- Each shot has only two possible outcomes: hitting the target (success) or missing (failure).
- The probability of success (hitting the target) is constant for each shot and is given as .
- The shots are independent, meaning the outcome of one shot does not influence the outcomes of others.
- The total number of trials is fixed, .
Thus, , where:
- (number of trials),
- (probability of success).
Part 2: Probability that
We want to calculate . Using the binomial distribution formula or approximations:
Steps:
-
Using the binomial cumulative probability : Direct computation is tedious, so we use an approximation.
-
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution: For large , the binomial distribution can be approximated by a normal distribution: where:
-
Convert to the standard normal form: where is the standard normal variable:
-
From standard normal tables, :
Thus, the probability is approximately 0.068, rounded to the nearest thousandth.
Summary of Results
- .
- .
Do you need further explanation or more steps elaborated? Here are five related questions for deeper understanding:
- How does the normal approximation simplify binomial calculations?
- What would happen to if the probability of success were instead of ?
- How can this method be applied to real-life problems involving probabilities?
- What are the limitations of using the normal approximation for small ?
- How would the probability change if we calculated instead of ?
Tip: Always check the conditions for using approximations, especially when is small or is close to 0 or
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Formulas
Binomial Probability: P(C = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
Normal Approximation: Z = (X - μ) / σ, where μ = n * p and σ = √(n * p * (1-p))
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem (used for Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution)
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12 (High School Probability and Statistics)
Related Recommendation
Binomial Distribution: Finding Mean, Standard Deviation, and Usual Values
When to Use a Normal Approximation for a Binomial Distribution
Probability of Hitting a Target: At Least Twice and At Least Once
Using Normal Approximation to Solve a Binomial Distribution Problem in Probability
Probability and Binomial Distribution Practice Problems