Math Problem Statement

Solution

To analyze this problem, let's break it down step-by-step. The given data and the question are regarding the normal distribution and probabilities. Here's a translation and interpretation of the problem and the options:

Given Information:

  1. Sample Mean ( xˉ\bar{x} ): 2.1
  2. Sample Variance ( s2s^2 ): 0.01
  3. Population Mean ( μ\mu ): 1.8
  4. Population Variance ( σ2\sigma^2 ): 0.12
  5. Normal Distribution of Population YY : N(xˉ,s2)=N(2.1,0.01)N(\bar{x}, s^2) = N(2.1, 0.01)

The problem is asking about the probabilities related to these normal distributions.

The Question:

Given the conditions and the normal distribution of the output revenue YY, we need to evaluate the statements about P(X>2)P(X > 2) and P(Y>2)P(Y > 2).

The additional probability given is: P(Z<μ+σ)=0.8413P(Z < \mu + \sigma) = 0.8413

This implies: P(Z<μ+σ)=0.8413P(Z < \mu + \sigma) = 0.8413

We know that 0.8413 corresponds to a Z-score of 1 in a standard normal distribution. This implies: μ+σ=1\mu + \sigma = 1

Calculations:

  1. Standard Deviation of the Sample Mean: s=0.01=0.1s = \sqrt{0.01} = 0.1

  2. Z-score for X=2X = 2 using N(1.8,0.12)N(1.8, 0.12): Z=Xμσ=21.80.120.20.3460.578Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{2 - 1.8}{\sqrt{0.12}} \approx \frac{0.2}{0.346} \approx 0.578

The probability for this Z-score (0.578) can be looked up in Z-tables or calculated using a normal distribution calculator.

  1. Z-score for Y=2Y = 2 using N(2.1,0.01)N(2.1, 0.01): Z=Yxˉs=22.10.1=1Z = \frac{Y - \bar{x}}{s} = \frac{2 - 2.1}{0.1} = -1

The probability P(Y>2)P(Y > 2) for this Z-score (-1) can be calculated using Z-tables.

Conclusion and Selection:

The question is asking to choose the correct statement based on these probabilities. To do this accurately, let's calculate the approximate probabilities:

  1. For XX with N(1.8,0.12)N(1.8, 0.12): P(X>2)10.719=0.281P(X > 2) \approx 1 - 0.719 = 0.281

So, P(X>2)>0.2P(X > 2) > 0.2.

  1. For YY with N(2.1,0.01)N(2.1, 0.01): P(Y>2)0.8413P(Y > 2) \approx 0.8413

So, P(Y>2)<0.8P(Y > 2) < 0.8 is not correct. But P(Y>2)>0.5P(Y > 2) > 0.5.

So, the correct answers should be:

  • P(X>2)>0.2P(X > 2) > 0.2
  • P(Y>2)>0.5P(Y > 2) > 0.5

Thus, the correct options are A and C.

Final Answer:

  • A: P(X>2)>0.2P(X > 2) > 0.2
  • C: P(Y>2)>0.5P(Y > 2) > 0.5

Would you like further details on the calculations or any specific part of this solution?

Here are 5 related questions you might find interesting:

  1. How do you calculate the Z-score for a given value in a normal distribution?
  2. What is the significance of the standard deviation in a normal distribution?
  3. How can you use the standard normal distribution table to find probabilities?
  4. What are the properties of a normal distribution?
  5. How do you interpret the results from a normal distribution in real-world scenarios?

Tip: Always remember to convert the variance to standard deviation by taking its square root before calculating Z-scores.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Probability

Formulas

Z-score calculation

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School