Math Problem Statement

A population of values has a normal distribution with \( \mu = 113.8 \) and \( \sigma = 22.9 \). You intend to draw a random sample of size \( n = 129 \). Find the probability that a single randomly selected value is between 109 and 113.8. Find the probability that a sample of size \( n = 129 \) is randomly selected with a mean between 109 and 113.8.

Solution

Let's solve the problems step-by-step.

Problem 1: Probability of a Single Value

Given a normal distribution with a mean μ=113.8\mu = 113.8 and standard deviation σ=22.9\sigma = 22.9, we need to find the probability that a single randomly selected value XX falls between 109 and 113.8:

P(109<X<113.8)P(109 < X < 113.8)

Step 1: Calculate Z-scores

The Z-score formula is:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

For X=109X = 109:

Z1=109113.822.9=4.822.9Z_1 = \frac{109 - 113.8}{22.9} = \frac{-4.8}{22.9}

For X=113.8X = 113.8:

Z2=113.8113.822.9=0Z_2 = \frac{113.8 - 113.8}{22.9} = 0

Let's calculate these values.

Problem 2: Probability of a Sample Mean

Now, find the probability that a sample of size n=129n = 129 is randomly selected with a mean between 109 and 113.8:

P(109<M<113.8)P(109 < M < 113.8)

Step 1: Calculate the Standard Error (SE) The standard error is given by:

SE=σn=22.9129SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{22.9}{\sqrt{129}}

Step 2: Calculate Z-scores for the sample mean

For M=109M = 109:

Z3=109113.8SEZ_3 = \frac{109 - 113.8}{SE}

For M=113.8M = 113.8:

Z4=113.8113.8SE=0Z_4 = \frac{113.8 - 113.8}{SE} = 0

I'll calculate these values now.Here are the calculations for each problem:

Problem 1: Probability of a Single Value

  • Z-score for X=109X = 109: Z1=0.2096Z_1 = -0.2096
  • Z-score for X=113.8X = 113.8: Z2=0Z_2 = 0
  • Probability P(109<X<113.8)=0.0830P(109 < X < 113.8) = 0.0830

Problem 2: Probability of a Sample Mean

  • Standard Error (SE): SE=2.0165SE = 2.0165 (calculated internally)
  • Z-score for M=109M = 109: Z3=2.3807Z_3 = -2.3807
  • Z-score for M=113.8M = 113.8: Z4=0Z_4 = 0
  • Probability P(109<M<113.8)=0.4914P(109 < M < 113.8) = 0.4914

Would you like further explanation on any part of the solution?

Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the importance of standard error in probability calculations?
  2. How do Z-scores relate to probabilities in a normal distribution?
  3. Why is the probability of a sample mean different from that of a single value?
  4. How would the probabilities change if the sample size increased?
  5. What would the probabilities be if the range was adjusted slightly?

Tip: Always double-check the Z-score calculations when dealing with normal distributions to ensure accuracy!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Sample Mean
Standard Error

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
Standard Error (SE) = σ / √n

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12