Math Problem Statement

In a random sample of 100 audited estate tax returns, it was determined that the mean amount of additional tax owed was $3409 with a standard deviation of $2559. Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the mean additional amount of tax owed for estate tax returns. Select the correct choice.

Solution

Let's solve this problem step by step.

Problem Summary:

We are given:

  • Sample size (nn) = 100
  • Mean additional tax owed (xˉ\bar{x}) = $3,409
  • Standard deviation (ss) = $2,559
  • Confidence level = 90%

We need to construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the mean additional tax owed.

Formula for Confidence Interval:

Confidence Interval=xˉ±zα/2sn\text{Confidence Interval} = \bar{x} \pm z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} Where:

  • xˉ\bar{x} is the sample mean,
  • zα/2z_{\alpha/2} is the critical value for the confidence level (for 90%, zα/21.645z_{\alpha/2} \approx 1.645),
  • ss is the sample standard deviation,
  • nn is the sample size.

Step 1: Calculate the Margin of Error

Margin of Error=zα/2sn=1.6452559100=1.645255.9420.46\text{Margin of Error} = z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = 1.645 \cdot \frac{2559}{\sqrt{100}} = 1.645 \cdot 255.9 \approx 420.46

Step 2: Calculate the Confidence Interval

Lower Bound=xˉMargin of Error=3409420.462989\text{Lower Bound} = \bar{x} - \text{Margin of Error} = 3409 - 420.46 \approx 2989 Upper Bound=xˉ+Margin of Error=3409+420.463830\text{Upper Bound} = \bar{x} + \text{Margin of Error} = 3409 + 420.46 \approx 3830

Final Confidence Interval:

(2989,3830)\boxed{(2989, 3830)}

Correct Interpretation (Option A):

One can be 90% confident that the mean additional tax owed is between $2989 and $3830.

Let me know if you'd like further details or have any questions!


Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How would the confidence interval change if the sample size increased?
  2. What happens to the confidence interval if the standard deviation decreases?
  3. How do different confidence levels (e.g., 95%) affect the confidence interval width?
  4. Why is the Z-value used in this case rather than the t-value?
  5. What are the assumptions for constructing a confidence interval using this method?

Tip: Always double-check critical values based on the confidence level when using Z-distribution tables!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Sampling Distribution

Formulas

Confidence Interval = x̄ ± z*(σ/√n)
Margin of Error = z*(σ/√n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or early college (Statistics)