Math Problem Statement

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Part 1

In a random sample of

100100

audited estate tax​ returns, it was determined that the mean amount of additional tax owed was

​$34753475

with a standard deviation of

​$25072507.

Construct and interpret a​ 90% confidence interval for the mean additional amount of tax owed for estate tax returns.

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Part 1

Find and interpret a​ 90% confidence interval for the mean additional amount of tax owed for estate tax returns. Select the correct choice below and fill in the answer boxes to complete your choice.

​(Use ascending order. Round to the nearest dollar as​ needed.)

A.

One can be​ 90% confident that the mean additional tax owed is between

​$enter your response here

and

​$enter your response here.

B.

​90% of taxes owed for estate tax returns are between

​$enter your response here

and

​$enter your response here.

C.

There is a​ 90% probability that the mean additional tax owed is between

​$enter your response here

and

​$enter your response here.

Solution

To construct a 90% confidence interval for the mean additional tax owed for estate tax returns, we can use the following formula for the confidence interval (CI):

CI=xˉ±z(sn)\text{CI} = \bar{x} \pm z^* \left( \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \right)

Where:

  • xˉ=34753475\bar{x} = 34753475 (sample mean)
  • s=25072507s = 25072507 (sample standard deviation)
  • n=100n = 100 (sample size)
  • zz^* is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level.

Step 1: Find the z-score for a 90% confidence level.

The z-score for a 90% confidence level (using a z-table or calculator) is approximately z=1.645z^* = 1.645.

Step 2: Calculate the standard error (SE).

SE=sn=25072507100=2507250710=2507250.7\text{SE} = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{25072507}{\sqrt{100}} = \frac{25072507}{10} = 2507250.7

Step 3: Calculate the margin of error (ME).

ME=zSE=1.6452507250.74123937.45\text{ME} = z^* \cdot \text{SE} = 1.645 \cdot 2507250.7 \approx 4123937.45

Step 4: Construct the confidence interval.

Lower limit=xˉME=347534754123937.4530629537.55\text{Lower limit} = \bar{x} - \text{ME} = 34753475 - 4123937.45 \approx 30629537.55 Upper limit=xˉ+ME=34753475+4123937.4538877412.45\text{Upper limit} = \bar{x} + \text{ME} = 34753475 + 4123937.45 \approx 38877412.45

Final Confidence Interval

Rounding to the nearest dollar:

  • Lower limit: $30,629,538
  • Upper limit: $38,877,412

Interpretation

The correct interpretation is: A. One can be 90% confident that the mean additional tax owed is between $30,629,538 and $38,877,412.

Summary

The 90% confidence interval for the mean additional amount of tax owed for estate tax returns is $30,629,538\$30,629,538 to $38,877,412\$38,877,412.

Do you want details on any specific part or have any questions? Here are some follow-up questions you might consider:

  1. How would the confidence interval change with a larger sample size?
  2. What are the implications of the standard deviation in this context?
  3. How do you interpret the concept of confidence intervals in general?
  4. What factors could affect the accuracy of this confidence interval?
  5. How would you approach constructing a confidence interval for a different confidence level (e.g., 95%)?

Tip: Always check the underlying assumptions of normality and sample size when constructing confidence intervals.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Sampling Distributions

Formulas

CI = x̄ ± z* (s/√n)
Standard Error (SE) = s/√n
Margin of Error (ME) = z* × SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12