Math Problem Statement

In a random sample of 81 audited estate tax returns, it was determined that the mean amount of additional tax owed was $3413 with a standard deviation of $2535. Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the mean additional amount of tax owed for estate tax returns.

Solution

To calculate the 90% confidence interval for the mean additional tax owed, we use the formula for the confidence interval of the mean:

CI=xˉ±zα/2(σn)CI = \bar{x} \pm z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \left( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \right)

Where:

  • xˉ=3413\bar{x} = 3413 (the sample mean)
  • σ=2535\sigma = 2535 (the standard deviation)
  • n=81n = 81 (the sample size)
  • zα/2z_{\alpha/2} is the critical value from the standard normal distribution for a 90% confidence level, which is approximately 1.645.

Now, calculating the margin of error (MOE):

MOE=1.645(253581)=1.645(25359)=1.645281.67463.55MOE = 1.645 \cdot \left( \frac{2535}{\sqrt{81}} \right) = 1.645 \cdot \left( \frac{2535}{9} \right) = 1.645 \cdot 281.67 \approx 463.55

Thus, the confidence interval is:

CI=3413±463.55CI = 3413 \pm 463.55

This gives:

Lower limit=3413463.55=2949.452950\text{Lower limit} = 3413 - 463.55 = 2949.45 \approx 2950 Upper limit=3413+463.55=3876.553876\text{Upper limit} = 3413 + 463.55 = 3876.55 \approx 3876

Therefore, the 90% confidence interval is approximately between $2950 and $3876.

The correct choice in the multiple-choice options is:

  • C: "One can be 90% confident that the mean additional tax owed is between $2950 and $3876."

Would you like further clarification or additional details?

Related questions:

  1. What is the significance of the 90% confidence level in this context?
  2. How would the confidence interval change with a larger sample size?
  3. How does the standard deviation affect the width of the confidence interval?
  4. What is the interpretation of a 95% confidence interval in comparison to a 90% interval?
  5. Can we interpret a confidence interval as having a 90% probability that the true mean lies within the interval?

Tip: Confidence intervals provide a range of plausible values for the population mean, not a definitive range where the mean is guaranteed to fall.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence Interval
Statistics
Normal Distribution

Formulas

CI = x̄ ± z * (σ/√n)
Margin of Error = z * (σ/√n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College Level Statistics