Math Problem Statement

You wish to test the following claim ( H a ) at a significance level of α

0.005 . H o : p 1

p 2

H a : p 1 < p 2 You obtain 64 successes in a sample of size n 1

506 from the first population. You obtain 113 successes in a sample of size n 2

610 from the second population. For this test, you should NOT use the continuity correction, and you should use the normal distribution as an approximation for the binomial distribution. What is the standardized test statistic for this sample? (Report answer accurate to three decimal places.)

Solution

The problem asks to conduct a hypothesis test for comparing two population proportions. Specifically, we want to test the null hypothesis:

H0:p1=p2H_0: p_1 = p_2

against the alternative hypothesis:

Ha:p1<p2H_a: p_1 < p_2

Step 1: Calculate the sample proportions

First, calculate the sample proportions for each population.

For the first population:

p^1=x1n1=645060.1265\hat{p}_1 = \frac{x_1}{n_1} = \frac{64}{506} \approx 0.1265

For the second population:

p^2=x2n2=1136100.1852\hat{p}_2 = \frac{x_2}{n_2} = \frac{113}{610} \approx 0.1852

Step 2: Pooled proportion

Since the null hypothesis assumes p1=p2p_1 = p_2, we calculate the pooled sample proportion p^\hat{p}, which is the overall proportion of successes from both samples combined:

p^=x1+x2n1+n2=64+113506+610=17711160.1587\hat{p} = \frac{x_1 + x_2}{n_1 + n_2} = \frac{64 + 113}{506 + 610} = \frac{177}{1116} \approx 0.1587

Step 3: Standard error

The standard error of the difference in sample proportions is calculated using the pooled proportion:

SE=p^(1p^)(1n1+1n2)SE = \sqrt{\hat{p} \cdot (1 - \hat{p}) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}\right)}

Substitute the values:

SE=0.1587(10.1587)(1506+1610)SE = \sqrt{0.1587 \cdot (1 - 0.1587) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{506} + \frac{1}{610}\right)}

SE=0.15870.8413(0.001976+0.001639)SE = \sqrt{0.1587 \cdot 0.8413 \cdot \left(0.001976 + 0.001639\right)}

SE=0.15870.84130.0036150.00048180.02195SE = \sqrt{0.1587 \cdot 0.8413 \cdot 0.003615} \approx \sqrt{0.0004818} \approx 0.02195

Step 4: Test statistic

Now, compute the standardized test statistic zz using the formula:

z=p^1p^2SEz = \frac{\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2}{SE}

Substitute the values:

z=0.12650.18520.021950.05870.021952.674z = \frac{0.1265 - 0.1852}{0.02195} \approx \frac{-0.0587}{0.02195} \approx -2.674

Conclusion:

The standardized test statistic is approximately:

z2.674z \approx -2.674

Would you like more details, or do you have any questions? Here are some follow-up questions to expand on this:

  1. How would you calculate the p-value for this test statistic?
  2. What is the critical value for a left-tailed test at α=0.005\alpha = 0.005?
  3. How does the continuity correction affect the test statistic?
  4. How do you interpret the result of this test?
  5. What assumptions are necessary for using the normal distribution as an approximation?

Tip: Always check the assumptions (sample size and normality) when using the normal approximation for binomial tests.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Proportions
Normal Distribution
Binomial Approximation

Formulas

Sample proportion: p̂ = x / n
Pooled proportion: p̂ = (x1 + x2) / (n1 + n2)
Standard error: SE = sqrt(p̂(1-p̂)(1/n1 + 1/n2))
Z-test statistic: z = (p̂1 - p̂2) / SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem (for binomial approximation)
Z-test for proportions

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate level (Statistics, Probability)