Math Problem Statement

; n n p t ∞

Solution

It looks like you are referring to a sum involving probabilities and a Poisson distribution, but the notation is incomplete. Let’s clarify the context and provide a more complete explanation.

Context: Poisson Distribution and Infinite Series

In the context of the Poisson distribution, we often deal with sums of probabilities over all possible numbers of events. Specifically, for a Poisson process with rate λ\lambda, the probability of observing nn events in a time interval tt is given by:

Pn(t)=(λt)neλtn!P_n(t) = \frac{(\lambda t)^n e^{-\lambda t}}{n!}

When you sum these probabilities over all possible values of nn (from 0 to \infty), you are essentially considering the total probability, which must sum to 1.

Sum of Poisson Probabilities

To show that the sum of all probabilities in a Poisson distribution equals 1, we write:

n=0Pn(t)=n=0(λt)neλtn!\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} P_n(t) = \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{(\lambda t)^n e^{-\lambda t}}{n!}

Proof Using Series Expansion

Let's prove this by using the series expansion of the exponential function:

  1. Exponential Function Expansion: The exponential function exe^x can be expanded as a power series: ex=n=0xnn!e^x = \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{x^n}{n!}

  2. Applying the Expansion to Our Problem: In our case, we substitute x=λtx = \lambda t: eλt=n=0(λt)nn!e^{\lambda t} = \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{(\lambda t)^n}{n!}

  3. Including the Exponential Term: Notice that Pn(t)P_n(t) includes eλte^{-\lambda t}: n=0Pn(t)=n=0(λt)neλtn!\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} P_n(t) = \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{(\lambda t)^n e^{-\lambda t}}{n!} We can factor out eλte^{-\lambda t} from the sum: n=0(λt)neλtn!=eλtn=0(λt)nn!\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{(\lambda t)^n e^{-\lambda t}}{n!} = e^{-\lambda t} \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{(\lambda t)^n}{n!}

  4. Using the Series Expansion: From the exponential series expansion, we know: n=0(λt)nn!=eλt\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{(\lambda t)^n}{n!} = e^{\lambda t}

  5. Simplifying: Substitute back into our sum: eλteλt=1e^{-\lambda t} \cdot e^{\lambda t} = 1

Therefore, we have shown that the sum of the probabilities over all possible numbers of events in a Poisson process is 1, confirming that the Poisson distribution is a valid probability distribution.

Conclusion

This result confirms the normalization of the Poisson distribution, ensuring that the total probability is 1.

Do you want details or have any questions? Here are five questions you might ask next:

  1. How do we calculate the mean and variance of a Poisson distribution?
  2. Can you explain the derivation of the Poisson distribution from a binomial distribution?
  3. What are some applications of the Poisson distribution in real life?
  4. How does the Poisson distribution relate to the exponential distribution?
  5. What is the probability generating function for the Poisson distribution?

Tip: When working with series and sums in probability, understanding the underlying exponential functions and their properties can greatly simplify the derivation and proof of important results.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Poisson Distribution
Infinite Series
Exponential Function

Formulas

Poisson Probability Formula: P_n(t) = (lambda * t)^n * e^(-lambda * t) / n!

Theorems

Exponential Function Series Expansion
Normalization of Poisson Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Advanced