Math Problem Statement

this is question second one is solution solve it properly

Let X and Y be integrable random variables on a probability space (Ω,F,P). Then Y = Y1 + Y2, where Y1 = E[Y|X] is σ(X)-measurable and Y2 = Y − E[Y|X]. Show that Y2 and X are uncorrelated. More generally, show that Y2 is uncorrelated with every σ(X)-measurable random variable.

Solution

The exercise you shared involves random variables XX and YY, and the goal is to prove that Y2Y_2, the difference between YY and its conditional expectation E[YX]E[Y | X], is uncorrelated with every σ(X)\sigma(X)-measurable random variable.

Here is a detailed step-by-step explanation of the solution:

Problem Restatement

Let XX and YY be integrable random variables on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}). Define:

  • Y=Y1+Y2Y = Y_1 + Y_2, where
    • Y1=E[YX]Y_1 = E[Y | X], the conditional expectation of YY given XX, which is σ(X)\sigma(X)-measurable,
    • Y2=YE[YX]=YY1Y_2 = Y - E[Y | X] = Y - Y_1, the difference between YY and its conditional expectation.

The task is to show that:

  1. Y2Y_2 and XX are uncorrelated.
  2. More generally, Y2Y_2 is uncorrelated with every σ(X)\sigma(X)-measurable random variable.

Key Definitions and Setup

  • Uncorrelated means that the covariance between two random variables Z1Z_1 and Z2Z_2 is zero, i.e., Cov(Z1,Z2)=E[(Z1E[Z1])(Z2E[Z2])]=0\text{Cov}(Z_1, Z_2) = E[(Z_1 - E[Z_1])(Z_2 - E[Z_2])] = 0.
  • The conditional expectation E[YX]E[Y | X] is σ(X)\sigma(X)-measurable, which means it is a function of XX and depends only on XX.

Proof (More General Case)

We are asked to show that Y2Y_2 is uncorrelated with every σ(X)\sigma(X)-measurable random variable ξ\xi.

By definition, Y2=YE[YX]Y_2 = Y - E[Y | X]. To show uncorrelation with ξ\xi, we need to show that: E[Y2ξ]=0E[Y_2 \xi] = 0

Now, proceed as follows:

  1. Expectation of the product:
    [ E[Y_2 \xi] = E\left[(Y - E[Y | X])\xi\right] = E[Y \xi] - E[E[Y | X] \xi] ]

  2. Simplification of terms:
    By the property of conditional expectation: [ E[E[Y | X] \xi] = E[\xi E[Y | X]] ] Since ξ\xi is σ(X)\sigma(X)-measurable, it can be factored out of the conditional expectation: [ E[\xi E[Y | X]] = E[\xi \xi] = E[\xi] ] Which simplifies it to zero.

This solves the

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Random Variables
Conditional Expectation
Correlation
σ-Algebra

Formulas

Cov(Z1, Z2) = E[(Z1 − E[Z1])(Z2 − E[Z2])]
Y2 = Y - E[Y|X]
E[Y2ξ] = 0 (for any σ(X)-measurable random variable ξ)

Theorems

Law of Total Expectation
Properties of Conditional Expectation

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Advanced Probability Theory)